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Ultimate Building Blocks: NFC East

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Old 06-11-2009, 05:25 PM   #2
Ruhskins
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Re: Ultimate Building Blocks: NFC East

From Football Outsiders, they look at 5 players on the rise, including our very own Jason Campbell.

Miles Austin, Jason Campbell or Sam Baker could be next big NFC stars - ESPN

This is an insider article, so I thought I would post the entire section on Campbell:

Quote:
Jason Campbell, QB, Washington Redskins

Football Outsiders has been touting Campbell since he came out of Auburn because of his Lewin Career Forecast, our metric that uses completion percentage and games started at the college level to reliably predict NFL performance for quarterbacks chosen in the first two rounds. Over the past decade, the only first-round quarterback to come out of college with a Lewin Career Forecast superior to Campbell's is Philip Rivers.

Furthermore, it's not as if Campbell has been unimpressive; his completion percentage, touchdown-to-interception ratio, quarterback rating and DVOA have improved with each season as a professional, while his interception rate has declined. The only notable negative indicator for Campbell is a relatively high sack rate at 7.0 percent, but he gets sacked for the same reason Ben Roethlisberger gets sacked; at 6-foot-5, Campbell stands tall in the pocket and is able to make throws at the last moment that other quarterbacks wouldn't be able to get off.

Campbell heads into 2009 at a crossroads two similar quarterbacks faced after being presented with competition for their job at the end of their rookie contract. Drew Brees excelled and earned himself a mammoth deal from New Orleans; on the other hand, Byron Leftwich failed to take his game to the next level and lost his job to David Garrard. The difference between the subsequent contracts of the two players was $53 million; that's what Campbell's playing for this upcoming season.
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