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#1 |
Playmaker
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Rehoboth Beach, DE
Posts: 3,494
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Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
I don't put a lot of faith in betting lines as indicators, but here's the news.
REDSKINS -3 Giants Since 3 points are generally given to the home team, the line is saying the Giants and Redskins are neutral site equals. This seems... odd, given the records, the head-to-head score, and the New York love that is out there, but what do I know?
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There's nowhere to go but up. Or down. I guess we could stay where we are, too. |
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#2 |
Special Teams
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Richmond, VA
Posts: 174
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
Surprising to me. I would have thought the line more like +7 for Gmen. We do better as the underdog.
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Go skins! |
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#3 |
The Starter
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Potomac Falls, VA
Age: 48
Posts: 1,762
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
I check the line just about every week for sh*ts and giggles and the line never moved last week at all. It stayed at Redskins by 3 the whole time. So far its been the same for the Giants game. I kind of wonder what goes into making the line, because I would of thought the G-men and the Cowboys should of both been favored, oh well maybe we beat the G-men 35-7 as well. Go Skins.
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#4 |
Special Teams
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 142
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
The betting line is just a barometer of popular opinion, nothing else. It fluctuates until one half the bets are for one team, and the other half of the bets are for the other team. That way, the house is guaranteed to make money.
This means that a lot of betters are on the Skins' bandwagon. |
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#5 | |
MVP
Join Date: May 2004
Age: 45
Posts: 10,164
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
Quote:
It flucuates until half the money bet is on oneside and half on the other....ij theory. Never works out of course but it the goal. Th main work goes into the first number which basically sets the barometer. A bad first number screws everything up. |
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#6 |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: lancaster,pa
Age: 62
Posts: 10,672
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
the line gives you a good idea on how the money is being bet.rocko and the boys in vegas usually have a pretty good idea on the inside of the nfl.if not,you find them wearing a pair of cement shoes somewhere
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#7 |
Playmaker
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Los Angeles, CA
Age: 47
Posts: 3,007
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
i saw a story on hbo's real sports about how a line is figured out. a few guys in jersey seem to have a lot of influence on how the preliminary lines shape up before even seeing vegas. supposedly, they're insanely adept at sizing up point spreads early. Feelers are then sent off shore, right before vegas gets them.
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#8 | |
Playmaker
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 4,575
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
Quote:
I am surprised the line is so low, I thought the skins would be +7 at least. I wonder what the over/under is. |
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#9 | |
Special Teams
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Washington, DC
Age: 44
Posts: 368
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
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#10 | |
Playmaker
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 4,575
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
Quote:
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#11 |
I like big (_|_)s.
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Lexington, Virginia
Age: 42
Posts: 19,218
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
I would have loved to have bet last week. Wasn't it 2.5 Skins? I guess we covered the spread didn't we?
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Regret nothing. At one time it was exactly what you wanted. |
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#12 |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: lancaster,pa
Age: 62
Posts: 10,672
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
if a huge amount bet one way,the line will move.almost if like the bookies are listening to the real fan
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#13 |
Living Legend
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: VA
Age: 41
Posts: 17,511
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
the bookies dont give a damn about the fans, they only care about the money... more money, higher take, better profit margins.
If people bet too much to one side they shift to equal out the money on both sides so they don't end up paying out to cover. |
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#14 |
Playmaker
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Rehoboth Beach, DE
Posts: 3,494
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Re: Vegas line as of 9:45 pm EST 12/20
No movement on the line so far...
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There's nowhere to go but up. Or down. I guess we could stay where we are, too. |
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