Football Outsider win predictions

[Lotus]

This year's Football Outsider Almanac came out today. For what it is worth, here are their predictions for mean wins:

Washington 7.8
Dallas 8.0
NY Giants 10.0
Philadelphia 9.3

Chicago 10.5
Detroit 5.8
Green Bay 7.4
Minnesota 8.8

Atlanta 6.6
Carolina 8.3
New Orleans 7.8
Tampa 7.2

Arizona 5.6
St. Louis 8.2
San Fran 5.7
Seattle 9.9

Buffalo 5.3
Miami 6.4
New England 11.4
NY Jets 6.2

Baltimore 8.8
Cincinnati 6.9
Cleveland 6.6
Pittsburgh 9.6

Houston 6.9
Indianapolis 11.5
Jacksonville 10.2
Tennessee 9.3

Denver 4.9
Kansas City 6.7
Oakland 6.0
San Diego 12.5

They predict that the Chargers will win the Super Bowl.

If you don't understand the numbers, that 7.8 for Washington means that they, by averaging projections, predict the Skins will win about 8 games. The 12.5 for San Diego means that, by averaging projections, San Diego should win 12 or 13 games.

In the past, sometimes Football Outsiders are remarkably correct, such as correctly predicting that Minnesota would win 10 games last year. Sometimes, however, they have been way off, such as predicting that Seattle would win 10.5 games last year.

[JLW428]

I highly doubt that the chargers will win 12 or more games. Their schedule is pretty tough. Other than their crippled inner devision play, they are going to have a tough time. Outside of the NFC East, they have Baltimore, Tennessee, Pittsburgh, Miami...I mean thats a serious line up.

As for the Redskins I think we will go 16-0...nah but realistically I think that Dallas will finnish last in our devision followed by Philly and the Skins take the Wild Card at #2 in the east...

[JLW428]

Originally Posted by JLW428

I highly doubt that the chargers will win 12 or more games. Their schedule is pretty tough. Other than their crippled inner devision play, they are going to have a tough time. Outside of the NFC East, they have Baltimore, Tennessee, Pittsburgh, Miami...I mean thats a serious line up.

As for the Redskins I think we will go 16-0...nah but realistically I think that Dallas will finnish last in our devision followed by Philly and the Skins take the Wild Card at #2 in the east...

Just to follow up on that Miami part...I think they might actually be ok this year.

[MTK]

Miami is looking at a brutal schedule. I say 6 or 7 wins is about right.

[DBUCHANON101]

With the loss of T.O I believe Dallas will fall to the bottom of the East.
Philly has new weapons but they are young. and most importantly without Coach Johnson their defense takes a major hit.
Same with the Giants, NO PLAX. NO Spagnuolo. They may take some steps back.
So i think we can be in the mix for the 1 or 2 spot if we can keep CP going and the defense stays stout.

[53Fan]

I pick us to have a better record than last year. We'll see who's right.

[DBUCHANON101]

Originally Posted by Lotus

This year's Football Outsider Almanac came out today. For what it is worth, here are their predictions for mean wins:

Washington 7.8
Dallas 8.0
NY Giants 10.0
Philadelphia 9.3

Chicago 10.5
Detroit 5.8
Green Bay 7.4
Minnesota 8.8

Atlanta 6.6
Carolina 8.3
New Orleans 7.8
Tampa 7.2

Arizona 5.6
St. Louis 8.2
San Fran 5.7
Seattle 9.9

Buffalo 5.3
Miami 6.4
New England 11.4
NY Jets 6.2

Baltimore 8.8
Cincinnati 6.9
Cleveland 6.6
Pittsburgh 9.6

Houston 6.9
Indianapolis 11.5
Jacksonville 10.2
Tennessee 9.3

Denver 4.9
Kansas City 6.7
Oakland 6.0
San Diego 12.5

They predict that the Chargers will win the Super Bowl.

If you don't understand the numbers, that 7.8 for Washington means that they, by averaging projections, predict the Skins will win about 8 games. The 12.5 for San Diego means that, by averaging projections, San Diego should win 12 or 13 games.

In the past, sometimes Football Outsiders are remarkably correct, such as correctly predicting that Minnesota would win 10 games last year. Sometimes, however, they have been way off, such as predicting that Seattle would win 10.5 games last year.

Well Seattle did have many injuries last yr. So you cant predict that. A healthy Seattle in the West. 10 wins would have been a good prediction IMO

[Slingin Sammy 33]

Originally Posted by DBUCHANON101

With the loss of T.O I believe Dallas will fall to the bottom of the East.
Philly has new weapons but they are young. and most importantly without Coach Johnson their defense takes a major hit.
Same with the Giants, NO PLAX. NO Spagnuolo. They may take some steps back.
So i think we can be in the mix for the 1 or 2 spot if we can keep CP going and the defense stays stout.

Good post, agree.

[GusFrerotte]

Both Athlon's and Lindy's preseason mags had us at an even 8-8. Sporting News went on a negative limb and had us 4-12. I don't think with our weak ass schedule that 4-12 is possible, unless CP and JC get knocked out for the season early or something. All in all, I am thinking the same 7-9 to 9-7 span we have been averaging since the Norv days. Hayneseworth is going to help out for sure, but I am not so certain he is going to have a breakout type year for us.

[NYCskinfan82]

I like to think positive, all thou i do this before every season starts, 11-5 thats our record. I'll make my playoff predictions later. (meaning win 1 or 2 or go all the way to the SB)

[CRedskinsRule]

I expect we will win at least 10 games, and the division title should be in reach. The only way that doesn't happen is if the WR's just completely bomb.

[Lotus]

Originally Posted by CRedskinsRule

I expect we will win at least 10 games, and the division title should be in reach. The only way that doesn't happen is if the WR's just completely bomb.

Right on. Every prediction that I have seen explicitly or implicitly presumes that Devin and Malcolm will not contribute much. If the young receivers do significantly contribute, and I think at least one of them will, our offense looks a lot more dynamic.

[BringBackJoeT]

Originally Posted by CRedskinsRule

I expect we will win at least 10 games, and the division title should be in reach. The only way that doesn't happen is if the WR's just completely bomb.

At least? Really?

[skindeep]

@NYG L
STL W
@DET W
TB W
@CAR W
KC W
PHIL W
-BYE-
@ ATL W
DEN W
@DAL L
@ PHI L
NO W
@OAK W
NYG W
DAL W
@ SD L

Thats how I see it. I split the east because its always a toss up. 11-5

[Lotus]

Originally Posted by skindeep

@NYG L
STL W
@DET W
TB W
@CAR W
KC W
PHIL W
-BYE-
@ ATL W
DEN W
@DAL L
@ PHI L
NO W
@OAK W
NYG W
DAL W
@ SD L

Thats how I see it. I split the east because its always a toss up. 11-5

We win at both Carolina and Atlanta? That IS positive thinking!