Poll: Obama leads in Mich., Wis., Minn., Colo.

[MTK]

Not looking good for Johnny

The Associated Press: Poll: Obama leads in Mich., Wis., Minn., Colo.

[saden1]

This election was over the moment Obama beat Hillary Clinton but you never know though. At this point the only hope left for the old man is the Bradley Effect.

[MTK]

wow, awfully quiet in this thread. I thought the righties would have put some spin on this somehow by now.

[Redskins_P]

Interesting....this maybe the final nail in the coffin for the Republicans

Lawrence O'Donnell: Colin Powell Is Ready To Endorse

[firstdown]

Well polls have been wrong allot. While I do think McCain has an up hill battle has Obama done enough to get people out to the polls? Are they counting on the young vote which was suppose to be so big last election but they never showed up? I do know this if McCain wins all we are going to hear is voter fraud for months. If Obama wins we will hear very little to nothing about voter fraud. Either way my life will go on and I will do as I have done everyday. While I perfer one party over the other there is nothing I can do to change the out come so why worry. Well I will worry that Obama will change after he getts in office and raise my taxes even though I'm under the threash hold he set.

[MTK]

ah there's the spin, I was worried there for a bit

[firstdown]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

ah there's the spin, I was worried there for a bit

What did I spin in my comments. So polls are allways right? Did I not say McCain has an uphill battle. Thsoe questions about Obama and people getting out to vote will be questions that you will hear all day on election day. So that my friend is "The No Spin Zone".

[saden1]

Times are tough when a Buckley endorses Obama.

[Sheriff Gonna Getcha]

Isn't George Will also backing Obama?

[firstdown]

Originally Posted by Sheriff Gonna Getcha

Isn't George Will also backing Obama?

Thats not William Buckley its his son.

[saden1]

Originally Posted by Sheriff Gonna Getcha

Isn't George Will also backing Obama?

Not exactly but he said the following:

Conservatives who insist that electing McCain is crucial usually start, and increasingly end, by saying he would make excellent judicial selections. But the more one sees of his impulsive, intensely personal reactions to people and events, the less confidence one has that he would select judges by calm reflection and clear principles, having neither patience nor aptitude for either.

It is arguable that, because of his inexperience, Obama is not ready for the presidency. It is arguable that McCain, because of his boiling moralism and bottomless reservoir of certitudes, is not suited to the presidency. Unreadiness can be corrected, although perhaps at great cost, by experience. Can a dismaying temperament be fixed?

and this:

Time was, the Baltimore Orioles manager was Earl Weaver, a short, irascible, Napoleonic figure who, when cranky, as he frequently was, would shout at an umpire, "Are you going to get any better or is this it?" With, mercifully, only one debate to go, that is the question about John McCain's campaign.

In the closing days of his 10-year quest for the presidency, McCain finds it galling that Barack Obama is winning the first serious campaign he has ever run against a Republican. Before Tuesday night's uneventful event, gall was fueling what might be the McCain-Palin campaign's closing argument. It is less that Obama has bad ideas than that Obama is a bad person.

This, McCain and his female Sancho Panza say, is demonstrated by bad associations Obama had in Chicago, such as with William Ayers, the unrepentant terrorist. But the McCain-Palin charges have come just as the Obama campaign is benefiting from a mass mailing it is not paying for. Many millions of American households are gingerly opening envelopes containing reports of the third-quarter losses in their 401(k) and other retirement accounts -- telling each household its portion of the nearly $2 trillion that Americans' accounts have recently shed. In this context, the McCain-Palin campaign's attempt to get Americans to focus on Obama's Chicago associations seem surreal -- or, as a British politician once said about criticism he was receiving, "like being savaged by a dead sheep."

[MTK]

Looks like Palin and the negative attacks on Obama have seriously backfired for McCain, especially among indepedents:

The Canadian Press: Not just economy: Palin, negative attacks on Obama decimating McCain

[MTK]

Originally Posted by firstdown

What did I spin in my comments. So polls are allways right? Did I not say McCain has an uphill battle. Thsoe questions about Obama and people getting out to vote will be questions that you will hear all day on election day. So that my friend is "The No Spin Zone".

No, the polls aren't always right, but more often than not they are a strong indicator of what's to come. Barring a miracle McCain is done.

[Monkeydad]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

Not looking good for Johnny

The Associated Press: Poll: Obama leads in Mich., Wis., Minn., Colo.

Hmmmmmm...John Kerry was leading, even on exit polls. Gore was leading. I even remember Walter Mondale leading within a month of the election in 1984 and losing 49 of the 50 states.

Yep, polls are trustworthy.

[Monkeydad]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

ah there's the spin, I was worried there for a bit

Spins, facts, believe whatever you want.

Oversampling Democrats is the modus operandi for the media and pollsters. It has been well documented and people still fall for it every time. Some recent polls have been oversampled by as much as 20% in favor of Obama and he's still only ahead by about 5% in most polls.

I believe THAT should be making Obama nervous. He needs a bigger lead if he wants to feel comfortable with the polls. Not leading by at least 10% with the polls being weighted in his favor spells trouble for him on November 4.

One of the main reasons for the state of shock and the backlash of many Democrats after the past two elections was because they believed their own polls.