1st Round Picks tend to be 4 Star Recruits Coming out of High School

[Dirtbag59]

I was on Rivals100.com the other day looking at the profiles of this years upcoming first round picks and I noticed something. Most of the prospects were 3 or 4 star recruits coming out of high school. Hell Alex Smith (the QB) was a two star prospect, Jeff Samarzda was a three star prospect (yes I know hes going to the Cubs). Anyway heres some examples of the rivals100.com ratings of this years blue chip prospects (for the Draft) when they were seniors in high school.

2007 NFL Draft
Brady Quinn QB
Joe Thomas OL
Leon Hall DB
Alan Branch OL (DT for Michigan)
Marshawn Lynch RB
Charles Johnson DE
Quentin Moses DE
Gaines Adams TE
(Yes, Gaines Adams was a TE coming out of HS)
Adrian Peterson RB
Theodore Ginn, Jr DB
Tony Gonzalez DB
Troy Smith QB
Levi Brown DT (OT from Penn State)
Jamaal Anderson WR
(The DE out of Arkansas that will be a top 10 pick this year)
JaMarcus Russell QB
Calvin Johnson WR
Dwayne Jarrett ATH
LaRon Landry ATH
Reggie Nelson DB
Jarvis Moss DE
Lawrence Timmons LB
Amobi Okoye OL
DeMarcus Tyler DT




Other Picks from previous drafts
Odell Thurman LB 6-1
Vernon Davis TE
Donte Whitner DB
Bobby Carpenter LB
Santonio Holmes WR
A.J. Hawk LB
Tamba Hali DE
Reggie Bush RB
Darnell Bing DB
Winston Justice OL
Mike Williams WR
D'Brickashaw Ferguson OL
Kedric Golston DT
Manny Lawson DE
John McCargo DT
Mario Williams DE

[dall-assblows]

thats interesting. almost seems to me that the lower stars worked alot harder than the 5 star players.

[That Guy]

good players tend to become good players... surprise! still, a lot of 4 star HS players end up going low in the draft too.

[dmek25]

im not sure of the point beind this thread. its saying that the good high school players were also good college players

[JGisLordOfTheRings]

look @ okeye with 2 stars...didnt he just come from highschool? 18-19 or something?

[Dirtbag59]

Originally Posted by dmek25

im not sure of the point beind this thread. its saying that the good high school players were also good college players

My point is that this past signing day I was watching everyone make a big deal about all these 5-Star recurits when in reality the guys that are going to be making an impact at the next level are the guys that are in the four star range. I mean think about it, Miami QB Kyle Wright was the #1 prospect 5 years ago. This year he'll be lucky to be drafted. Mario Williams was rated the 90th best prospect overall in his senior class. This year only two prospects that will go in the top ten picks of the draft this year were 5 star recruits coming out of high school.

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by Dirtbag359

My point is that this past signing day I was watching everyone make a big deal about all these 5-Star recurits when in reality the guys that are going to be making an impact at the next level are the guys that are in the four star range. I mean think about it, Miami QB Kyle Wright was the #1 prospect 5 years ago. This year he'll be lucky to be drafted. Mario Williams was rated the 90th best prospect overall in his senior class. This year only two prospects that will go in the top ten picks of the draft this year were 5 star recruits coming out of high school.

Well theres also a very select few 5 star prospects, and most of them do end up being great college players. Theres a bunch more 4 star guys, and thats why they dominate the first round.

Scouting is an inexact science though. Not all 5 star prospects are going to have 5 star talent and every once in awhile, 3 star prosects will be superstars. Sometimes, high school coaches cant find the position where a guy is best at. Thus he gets ranked low, changes his position and becomes a stud at the college level.

Great research though.

[That Guy]

there's only about 500000000 times more 4 star prospects. you name kyle wright, but what about reggie bush? ted ginn? adrian peterson? a lot of the 5 stars end up alright too.