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#256 | |
Living Legend
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 22,369
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
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#257 |
Living Legend
Join Date: Aug 2008
Age: 57
Posts: 21,592
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
My bottom line is really simple: After next year JC will have had his full contract to prove his doubters wrong or right. I believe they are wrong and that he is going to have a standout year, and then you know what doubters/haters will say... oh he only played that way because it was a contract year.
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#258 | |
Living Legend
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Evanston, IL
Age: 37
Posts: 15,994
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
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Look, Cutler's a career 3 to 2 TD/INT guy. His career completion percentage is about two points higher than Campbell, but they were equal last year. If I ran Cutler's stats in the Redskins' regression equation (which I can't, accurately at least, because there's zero Cutler on Redskins data), but they'd look something like: Cutler 09 - 361/575, 4025 yds, 20 TDs, 16 INTs Yards per Attempt = 7.0 (this is down from Cutler's career average, Skins adjustment) Completion Pecentage = 62.8% The QB rating with these numbers would be = 83.6 Which is actually less valuable in the current offense, because the huge increase in INTs would outweigh the TDs and Yds increase pretty significantly. Cutler is actually really good at not getting sacked, but Campbell is no slouch. Cutler/Campbell are really no different as prospects. They have basically the same record (16-20 vs. 17-20), and Cutler snuck into the pro bowl in the weaker conference this year, but there's no objective reason to assume one has a low ceiling, and the other could improve forever. That's just perception.
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#259 | |
Playmaker
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Hackettstown NJ
Age: 53
Posts: 2,665
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
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#260 |
Living Legend
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Evanston, IL
Age: 37
Posts: 15,994
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
I'll re-state the other point: that if we improve the offense around Campbell, his rating projection instantly goes up. The number I have above assumes that the offense around him is no better than the mean average of the last 2.5 seasons, because that's the only assumption that can be made. If Kelly has a breakout year, Campbell's effortlessly in the 90's with 20+ TDs. If the OL improves and Kelly and Davis both break out, well, now Jason Campbell is a pro bowler.
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#261 | |
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
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#262 | |
Playmaker
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 4,712
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
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Dolphins get good press for saving drowning humans.But we only hear about the swimmers theyve pushed ashore.You know who we havent heard from: all the people theyve pushed out to sea.Dolphins dont know what theyre doing-they just like pushing things. |
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#263 | |
Living Legend
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Evanston, IL
Age: 37
Posts: 15,994
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
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Losing Dockery really hurt us there, because Kendall was ill-suited for that type of run blocking (much like Randy Thomas seems a bit ill-suited for the current run blocking).
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#264 |
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Age: 52
Posts: 99,763
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
I don't think JC was the reasons for the system changes. Gibbs thought the team would be better off with someone else running the O so he hired Saunders. Saunders was then ousted when Gibbs left and then Zorn was hired. JC barely had the chance to get comfortable before each change was made and the reason for the changes were out of his hands.
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#265 | |
Playmaker
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 4,712
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
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Campbell had two years in that system - one which has done very very well for other quarterbacks - yet the team chose to fire Saunders when Gibbs retired. It wasnt an automatic decision to fire Saunders either. Its not like Gibbs and Saunders were tied at the hip. If Campbell had been doing well and showing improvement and looking like he could be a franchise quarterback after two years in an identical system (and three years if you accept the fact that Saunders offense is similar to the one Gibbs ran before), then they would have kept Saunders. They didnt. Why does everyone think now - suddenly, after spending two years in a system that goes against Campbells strengths - is he suddenly going to be a franchise QB? Two years in a system didnt work before. why does everyone think two years is the answer now? People make excuses about how bad the line is now and how that hurts campell... how he doesnt have receivers... his receivers werent any better under Saunders but his O-line sure as hell was. We had a dominant O-line in Campbells 2nd year in this system... and he still failed. Our offense didnt take off in that system until we had a competent QB playing when Campbell got hurt. Campbell is not a franchise QB. He never will be. He's not horrible though - he's just average. If this franchise made a mistake when Gibbs left, it was not trying to trade Campbell last offseason. Theres no reason to continue this experiment. We need to trade Campbell now, while he still has some value. If not, we'll waste another season, miss out on getting compensation for him, and have to start the process over again next year. Jay Cutler is - right now - a well above-average WCO quarterback. He has potential to be a perennial pro-bowler. Campbells potential will only get us where Cutler is right now. If we could (hypothetically) trade Campbell, our 13th overall pick, and a conditional pick in next years draft for Cutler... it would be well worth it in the long-term. Short-term, it would suck, but long-term, we need to look beyond Jason Campbell. Guys like Cutler dont come around very often. When they do, you have to do what you can to get them. Just my opinion, I know 99% of you dont agree with me. A year from now, we'll know who was right. From my position, if i'm wrong, its something i would be happy to be wrong about.
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Dolphins get good press for saving drowning humans.But we only hear about the swimmers theyve pushed ashore.You know who we havent heard from: all the people theyve pushed out to sea.Dolphins dont know what theyre doing-they just like pushing things. |
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#266 | |
Living Legend
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 17,383
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
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#267 | |
JUST LIVIN
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: houston,tx
Age: 63
Posts: 4,916
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
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#268 |
Living Legend
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 22,369
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
So let me get this straight, you people want to...
- Trade away our #13th pick for another player (after everyone bitches and whines about the FO trading away picks and not "building through the draft"), because I'm sure we'd be losing this pick in some sort of trade. - Trade for a player who has caused a PR nightmare for his team and probably the reason why it is not seen as a big deal is b/c he's a QB (if he were a receiver, he'd be compared to TO). - Disrupt the continuity of having our current QB with the same coach and offense, something that hasn't happened in a while (don't tell me the Gibbs and Saunders had the same system). - Completely disregard JCs performance during the first 8 games when he had a working line and a healthy CP. - Officially putting Zorn on a short leash, since bringing Cutler here would give us the whole "when is Shanahan getting hired" talk all season. Once again, I don't know why continuity for more than one or two seasons is undervalued. The only way we should bring someone like Cutler would be if the team decided to completely blow up the team, which that hasn't happened.
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#269 |
Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Kill Devil Hills, N.C.
Posts: 7,570
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
[QUOTE=BigHairedAristocrat;538386]is that enough for you?
1td and 2 sacks per game and a meager 86.2 qb rating? if you factor out his freakish uncharacteristic run of no tds in the first part of the season, he'd be averaging almost as many INTs as touchdowns. jay cutler was a better qb his 2nd year than campbell will likely be in his fifth. jc, who will likely never be more than an average qb improved dramatically under zorns tutelage. now imagine what zorn could do with someone like cutler. the ceiling is low with campbell. with cutler, the skys the limit.[/QUOTE] J.C. will never be more than average but he improved dramatically under Zorn? In his first year right? I don't know how he can improve dramatically in one year and be doomed to never be more than average. I'm not ready to put a ceiling on J.C. myself. Not yet.
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#270 | |
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Age: 52
Posts: 99,763
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Re: Seems like Cutler might be available.
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