![]() |
|
Locker Room Main Forum Commanders Football & NFL discussion |
![]() |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
![]() |
#31 | |
Inactive
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: DC Metro Area
Age: 46
Posts: 5,829
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Quote:
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
Advertisements |
![]() |
#32 |
Camp Scrub
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Rockton Il.
Posts: 36
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Last season we had so many tough loses. We always seemed to be in a close battle even without a pass rush and forcing no turnovers. IF and only IF we get a good pass rusher and can generate turnovers will this team be successful. I am really shocked that we have not at least signed one defensive lineman in freeagency...granted there was not much out there, but we have only one major draft pick that is not enough to address a pitiful pass rush.
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#33 |
MVP
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: lancaster,pa
Age: 63
Posts: 10,672
|
Re: Have we discussed???
our defense was flat out brutal last season. for us to be in alot of the games was a miracle. but i don't see the defense playing like that again. Greg Williams head coaching career probably depends on it
__________________
"It's better to be quiet and thought a fool than to open ones mouth and remove all doubt." courtesy of 53fan |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#34 |
Most Interesting Man in the World
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Chantilly, VA
Age: 37
Posts: 8,606
|
Re: Have we discussed???
.
__________________
Vacancy |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#35 | |
Impact Rookie
Join Date: Apr 2005
Age: 55
Posts: 559
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Quote:
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#36 |
You did WHAT?!?
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: In The Kitchen With Dyna.
Age: 36
Posts: 14,174
|
Re: Have we discussed???
or we need to score more points it just proves my new theory:
Score more points than the other team and 100 percent of the time you will win
__________________
https://open.spotify.com/artist/1NG9zNxqMP8cYNP72QqUQT Shameless self-promotion. It is what it is. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#37 | ||
Pro Bowl
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Greensboro, North Carolina
Posts: 6,766
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Quote:
Quote:
Everybody looks like what the Dallas Cowboys did in the early 90's and suddenly that is supposed to be the formula for success. Well, guess what, that was over a decade ago itself. That was in the early stages of free agency and the salary cap....those aspects have changed significantly since that point. Don't get me wrong, I agree that we need guys who aren't all 35 and older, but with the exception of Brunell, this Redskins team IS a fairly young team. Just because the Dallas Cowboys had gotten guys like Smith, Irvin, and Akiman doesn't mean those types of guys are in every year's draft.
__________________
"Fire Up That Diesel!" |
||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#38 | ||
Camp Scrub
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Sydney, Australia
Posts: 61
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Quote:
The best teams in this league usually win there games, why? Better coaching and better execution from their players. The Patriots dynasty was not built upon being lucky, they were brilliantly coached and their players executed when it counted. If we are relying on luck to win another championship, i fear we will be waiting for a very, very long time! Quote:
If someone on the o-line gets beat is it luck or is it that the d has figured out a weakness in his technique?! A WR makes a spectacular catch, is it luck or the hours upon hours of work he puts into his ball skills?! A RB breaks a tackle to go all the way, luck or poor tackling with a bit of power running?! A LB ripps the ball out during a tackle, luck or great defence!? I could go on all day. Back to the blocked field goal in last seasons cowboys game, luck, or great commitment and execution by Vincent and poor execution from Dallas. The ball landing near Taylor was lucky, but his skills to pick it up and run it were not luck. Please explain yourself, i hope that i am missing something here.
__________________
Even from the other side of the world, i still HAIL! |
||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#39 |
Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2004
Age: 45
Posts: 8,317
|
Re: Have we discussed???
I personally think luck does matter in all sports, but it does not explain how many teams are consistently good or consistently bad within each season and also from season to season. IMHO, a combination of talent, preparation, intelligence, and hard work is the difference between a good team and a bad one.
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#40 | |
Uncle Phil
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 45,256
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Quote:
Joe Gibbs Quotes
__________________
You're So Vain...You Probably Think This Sig Is About You |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#41 | |
Living Legend
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Evanston, IL
Age: 37
Posts: 15,994
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Quote:
Ladell Betts gets the ball stripped by nameless St. Louis DB late in the 4th quarter of a close game. Careless on the part of Betts? Sure. Alert play by the DB? Yeah, I'll give him credit. But unless this would be the outcome of every occurence that involved contact between the ballcarrying Betts and nameless DB, there is at least SOME luck involved in it. If there wasn't, Betts would be stripped every time that man reached in on him. I'm not saying that Betts isn't fumble prone or that the St. Louis player doesn't have a knack for stripping the ball. Certainly, a forced fumble would only be the outcome of this play a small percentage of the time. But, as you see, this semi-lucky occurence completely changed the outcome of the game. One more loss on the board for Washington, one more with for STL. Now, there are some occurences in a game that are completely random and can change the course of the game. What if instead of St. Louis recovering the Betts' fumble, the ball bounced our way and Todd Wade ended up on top of it? Or what if the ball hops out of bounds instead of into the arms of a STL player? We in all likelyhood win in regulation. Look, skill does determine who is supposed to win the game. But let me give you an example about how a clearly inferior team can win a game. 2006 NFL playoffs, New England at San Diego. At the end of the game, the final scoreboard read 24-21 in favor of NE. What it didn't read is that there were 5 total forced fumbles in that game. 3 fumbles by the Chargers, 2 by the Patriots. It can be argued that all 5 of these fumbles were at least partially a function of skill. What cannot be argued is that the Patriots were beyond lucky to recover all 5 fumbles. If you assume the chances at recovering any given fumble at roughly one half, there is about a 3% chance that given an identical situation, the Pats would be able to recover 5 fumbles again. And we all know the value of a turnover in football. It can take points off the board for one team, and/or put points on the board for the other. I feel its reasonable to assume that even had the Chargers just recovered one of the 5 fumbles, they would have won the game. This can be supported if you imagine the Troy Brown strip of Marlon McCree being recovered by Donnie Edwards, and not by the Patriots. If the Chargers take over there, what is the likelyhood the Pats come back to win? And that STILL gives the Pats a 4 FR to 1 FR luck advantage. This is still a pretty unlikely scenario in favor of the Pats, but they would have lost. The Chargers were a much better team on that day. And it took every bounce of the ball for the Pats to pull it off. Let's face it, if luck weren't a deciding factor in football, the best team on the field would win 100% of the time. The fact that 35-40% of NFL games end in upsets just how randomly decided NFL games can be.
__________________
according to a source with knowledge of the situation. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#42 | |
Living Legend
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Evanston, IL
Age: 37
Posts: 15,994
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Quote:
If your team loses 10 or more games every year for 6 years (*cough--DETROIT--cough*), I mean...yeah you are getting unlucky, but there is probably a much bigger factor in your failure. Maybe your GM keeps picking overrated WRs every year while ignoring blatent future needs. But football seasons are 16 games long. That is a VERY small sample size. So you can get weak teams like the Saints who buy consistency at some key positions, get a lot of guys back from injury, and get a lot of balls bouncing their way, and go 10-6 with a playoff win. Even more specifically, the playoffs are 3-4 games long. I would estimate the the best team in the playoff tournament wins the SB about 1/3 of the time. As mentioned above, SD may have very well been the best team. They did almost everything they could against the Pats to beat them into the ground, but lady luck just wasn't with them on that day. And because it was a playoff game instead of a regular season game, they can no longer win the SB, all because of a series of whacked out occurences.
__________________
according to a source with knowledge of the situation. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#43 | |
Inactive
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: DC Metro Area
Age: 46
Posts: 5,829
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Quote:
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#44 | |
Living Legend
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Evanston, IL
Age: 37
Posts: 15,994
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Quote:
The point is though, although that select play was pretty stupid by McCree, the Chargers badly, badly, badly, badly outplayed the Patriots on that day. I'm sure the Patriots made at least 5 mistakes of similar magnitude earlier in the game. Remember, had Edwards or somebody else on SD recovered that McCree fumble (a 50% chance), we aren't talking about that play in April. But we very well might be talking about how LT really schooled Urlacher with that one juke en route to the SB MVP. And how Peyton Manning is a choker because Antoine Bethea can't cover Antonio Gates. ![]()
__________________
according to a source with knowledge of the situation. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#45 | |
Inactive
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: DC Metro Area
Age: 46
Posts: 5,829
|
Re: Have we discussed???
Quote:
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|
|