Chase Young or Three First Round Picks?

[Ruhskins]

Originally Posted by AnonEmouse

I know it's all just speculation until draft day, but i can't see a big trade coming in our direction because nobody is that desperate for the #2 pick.

Cincy are taking Burrow; their one big need is a young franchise QB to replace Dalton. They can take Tua or Burrow, though with their immediate need they'll take Burrow. They have a need and no incentive to trade down.
We want Young right now or a boatload of picks. I just don't see a Herschel Walker type trade coming our way. Taking either QB (if Cincy did surprise everyone by drafting Young) doesn't make us immediately better because we have bigger needs, so we'd likely only trade if that happened and I don't see Cindy doing that. Barring a minor miracle we take Young.
Detroit are in prime trade position assuming the above. They don't need a new QB yet and have other needs. Okudah makes sense but if they move down a couple of slots they could still get him and/or have picks left over from a Miami trade to fill other needs too. And Patricia comes from the Belichick school so I can't see him getting anything other than value from his picks or any trade. Unless he learned absolutely nothing. 😁
Giants are a little intriguing as if Tua is still available they might trade down, but i suspect they just take BPA, which could be Simmons after a good combine.
If Miami haven't traded up at this point they likely have Tua land in their lap anyway and still have all those picks for other needs. I back this scenario because they are in a 2 yr rebuild and can let Tua come on while Fitzmagic finished his career off. They also have too many other needs to waste picks on a trade they likely don't need to make.
Raiders moving up? Nope, I can't see Gruden or Mayock doing that given that QB isn't their big need either. They were bitten by the Brown scenario so they are going to be a bit cautious this year; no big splash.
Nobody else really has the draft capital to move into the top 5, especially once Burrow, Tua and Young have gone taking away the motive. I can see Miami swapping picks with Detroit to guarantee Tua, but the other scenarios look unlikely.

The Raiders are definitely in the QB market, since Gruden is not sold on Carr, and they have the ammo to move up. The only way I don't see them moving up for a QB is if they get a pricey free agent QB (i.e. Brady, Rivers, Teddy B.).

The Jags also have two first round picks and are in need of a QB. They may have even more ammo if they trade Yannick Ngakoue for a first rounder to another team.

Both the Raiders or the Jags could offer the Redskins their two first rounders and a 2021 first rounder (a total of three 1st round picks), among other picks to move ahead of Miami.