Better Rookie Season Stats Griffin or Luck?

[30gut]

First and foremost I want the Redskins to win more games this year but I have to admit a strong secondary desire: I want Griffin to post better offensive numbers then Luck.

At first I was confident that Griffin's superior production was a certainity because of my perceptions of the Colts offense.

But, after looking the Colts draft, offseason moves and returning players I'm not as certain that Griff will put up better stats then Luck.

Follow on questions not included in the Title:

Which teams has better offensive weapons? Us or the Colts?

What rookie season stats do you think Griffin and Luck will post?

What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs)

[NC_Skins]

Stat wise, I think Luck will and not for the reason you may think. Let's think about this. Teams that play from behind normally usually end up with a ton of yardage stats, and played a big part in why Newton racked up the type of numbers he did. That crappy Panthers team was always down and usually by more than one score.

Now, the Colts are a lot crappier than the Panthers so I imagine they'll be playing from behind a good portion of this season. We on the other hand will most likely have a balanced attack with a slight higher % of passes and our defense is legit.

RGIII is going to have the better W-L record though.

[30gut]

Originally Posted by NC_Skins

Stat wise, I think Luck will and not for the reason you may think. Let's think about this. Teams that play from behind normally usually end up with a ton of yardage stats, and played a big part in why Newton racked up the type of numbers he did. That crappy Panthers team was always down and usually by more than one score.

Actually, part of the reason I think Luck could post better stats then Griffin is because I expect them to be trailing often.
But, I also think the Colts are gonna be better then people think.
I think their net offensive weapons rivals our own.

However; I think you miss characterize Cam's yardage numbers by saying their were always down and usually by more then 1 score.
The Panthers were in almost every game, I think its more accurate to say that they chose to pass by design not because they were compelled to by score.

We on the other hand will most likely have a balanced attack with a slight higher % of passes and our defense is legit.

RGIII is going to have the better W-L record though.

Def agree about the defense and the W-L record.
But, I don't think you can call our pass/run balance slight towards the pass.
Nothing about Kyle's playcalling suggests to me that we'll have a balanced attack; I think we will remain a pass focused team except now we have a QB and receiving corps that makes the pass oriented balance justifiable.
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BTW:
What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs)

[NC_Skins]

Originally Posted by 30gut

However; I think you miss characterize Cam's yardage numbers by saying their were always down and usually by more then 1 score.The Panthers were in almost every game, I think its more accurate to say that they chose to pass by design not because they were compelled to by score.

I will give concede that point that their offense was more of a open up type offense than the old running style they once had. It worked for the most part, but they seemed to have trouble producing in the 4th quarter when it mattered. (in terms of points)

Fun fact: he had below 225 yards passing in all the wins except one. The lone one against us.


I don't see how you can equate the Colts offensive weapons to ours. They aren't even in the same ballpark anymore. All of their weapons are gone except Wayne.

[30gut]

BTW:
What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs)
__________________

Originally Posted by NC_Skins

...I don't see how you can equate the Colts offensive weapons to ours. They aren't even in the same ballpark anymore. All of their weapons are gone except Wayne.

At first blush I automatically thought we were clearly better in every area but I think its close in most areas.

OL: Colts
I give them a slight edge on the OL.
I'm assuming both the Colts and our OL will improve but this is where they rankled last year:
http://www.profootballfocus.com/blog...-lines-part-1/
PFF rates their OL ahead of ours and that's without Ben Ijalana and offseason additions of Samson Satele

Receiveing Corps: Redskins

I think we have a better overall receiving corps but again its close.
WRs:
The starting WRs based on production:
Wayne (a true #1 WR) + Collie is at least equal to Garcon + Morgan/Hankerson
Hankerson, Moss and Armstrong give us greater depth though

(imo Ty Hilton was an absolute steal for them though)

TEs:
Best overall player: Fred Davis however the Colts drafted the 2 best TEs in the draft and I give the combo of Fleener/Allen the edge of Davis/Cooley(health questions)

Running game: Push

I give us the slight edge because of scheme but Donald Brown was a producitve back last year and Carter was decent.
Running game is another area I think is closer then people realize.


Scheme: Redskins

I give us the edge overall because of continuity but I think Bruce Arians is a very good OC that was Peyton Manning's QB coach during his rookie season and helped groom Rothlisberger w/Steelers. Their already borrowing some concepts from Standford and will feature a Coltesque double TE based offense.

[EARTHQUAKE2689]

Originally Posted by 30gut

BTW:
What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs)
__________________



At first blush I automatically thought we were clearly better in every area but I think its close in most areas.

OL: Colts
I give them a slight edge on the OL.
I'm assuming both the Colts and our OL will improve but this is where they rankled last year:
http://www.profootballfocus.com/blog...-lines-part-1/
PFF rates their OL ahead of ours and that's without Ben Ijalana and offseason additions of Samson Satele

Receiveing Corps: Redskins

I think we have a better overall receiving corps but again its close.
WRs:
The starting WRs based on production:
Wayne (a true #1 WR) + Collie is at least equal to Garcon + Morgan/Hankerson
Hankerson, Moss and Armstrong give us greater depth though

(imo Ty Hilton was an absolute steal for them though)

TEs:
Best overall player: Fred Davis however the Colts drafted the 2 best TEs in the draft and I give the combo of Fleener/Allen the edge of Davis/Cooley(health questions)

Running game: Push

I give us the slight edge because of scheme but Donald Brown was a producitve back last year and Carter was decent.
Running game is another area I think is closer then people realize.


Scheme: Redskins

I give us the edge overall because of continuity but I think Bruce Arians is a very good OC that was Peyton Manning's QB coach during his rookie season and helped groom Rothlisberger w/Steelers. Their already borrowing some concepts from Standford and will feature a Coltesque double TE based offense.

I fail to see how you can say their running game is on par with ours, that their offensive line is better, and you're still on that Cam Newton was the best qb prospect you ever saw huh?

[skinsfaninok]

I think luck struggles with the lack of talent in Indy.. griff has more overall weapons

[EARTHQUAKE2689]

Griffin: 3,542 yards 22TDs 13Ints 544 rushing yards 5TDs

Luck: 3,318 yards 19TDs 15Ints

[mooby]

Originally Posted by 30gut

First and foremost I want the Redskins to win more games this year but I have to admit a strong secondary desire: I want Griffin to post better offensive numbers then Luck.

At first I was confident that Griffin's superior production was a certainity because of my perceptions of the Colts offense.

But, after looking the Colts draft, offseason moves and returning players I'm not as certain that Griff will put up better stats then Luck.

Follow on questions not included in the Title:

Which teams has better offensive weapons? Us or the Colts? Us

What rookie season stats do you think Griffin and Luck will post? Above-average stats

What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs) Yes

...

[MTK]

Luck could end up with more yards if you believe the Colts are going to be playing from behind a lot. But I think RG3 ends up with the better TD/INT ratio and is more efficient overall.

[CultBrennan59]

Griffin

[CapitalDefense]

Cousins

[EARTHQUAKE2689]

Originally Posted by CapitalDefense

Cousins

Weeden.

[Evilgrin]

I agree with alot of the people that say Luck, because he'll be throwing a ton on that awful team. When he isn't running for his life...

[skinsfaninok]

Originally Posted by EARTHQUAKE2689

Griffin: 3,542 yards 22TDs 13Ints 544 rushing yards 5TDs

Luck: 3,318 yards 19TDs 15Ints

I'd be down for that every year