Some Zorn Story...But It Hints at Campbell Getting Paid

[Schneed10]

Originally Posted by GTripp0012

Football Outsiders came out with a new stat called "accurate pass rate" this year, which is defined as the percentage of passes not marked as "thrown ahead" "thrown behind" "overthrown" or "underthrown".

Campbell was 7th in the NFL last season with an 85.7% accuracy rate. He was also the quarterback most victimized by drops, 39 times. Moss, Randle El, and surprisingly, Portis were the biggest culprits. Moss was second in the NFL in drops behind Braylon Edwards, although, far behind Edwards and he wasn't in the top ten in terms of drop percentage (though Randle El was). Campbell was also (excluding only J. Garcia, who voluntarily runs into pressure) the most valuable passer in the league when he was pressured last year.

None of this says anything we didn't already know about Campbell, just further reinforces it.

These are valuable stats for evaluating Campbell, however to be fair yards per attempt needs to be evaluated in conjunction with the accuracy statistics.

A plot chart with YPA on the X axis and the accuracy % you discuss above on the Y would be helpful. Anyone with both accuracy % above the median and YPA above the median (they'd be plotted in the upper right quadrant of the graph) will likely represent the most prolific passers, there should be a high correlation between that list and the list of highest rated (in terms of QB rating).

The numbers tell the tale of how accurate Campbell is, but his YPA is atrocious. The YPA of course reflects the high drop rate, and the terrible performance of the line in the second half of the season resulting in Zorn reigning in the aggressiveness.

I think the stats indicate Campbell has exactly what it takes to be a very prolific passer, but his YPA won't reflect it until he gets the blocking and gets better WR play.

We just have to hope Vinny and company recognize that Campbell is not the problem.