Mark Sanchez at 13th?

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by 53Fan

I remember Carroll being pretty adamant about it. I personally want nothing to do with him and don't expect much more than a backup out of him. Supposedly he reads the field pretty well but forces things at times resulting in TO's. I think a lot of QB's could have done well with that team.

Well, he completed 64% of his college passes to Staffords 58.something%. In that respect he's a better prospect. Except that, over one single season of data, who cares? That 64% is meaningless without large sample context. Then there's the talent bubble that is U.S.C.

This guy had a really good comp% in college, you know, he of the 57.3% NFL figure.

Vince Young Statistics - Pro-Football-Reference.com

If this guy (of 54.2% fame) had been able to declare after his Sophomore year, he would have been viewed very differently as a prospect, that's for sure:

Rex Grossman Statistics - Pro-Football-Reference.com

So basically, guys need to be good, but they also need to do it in a large sample.

I love watching Matt Stafford throw balls down the sideline, but if he only completes 58% of his passes, well, I know as an NFL GM, I can do better. In Sanchez' case, well, you probably had a better offense at USC then you'll have in the NFL, so I'm gambling a ton on that adjustment.

[53Fan]

Originally Posted by GTripp0012

Well, he completed 64% of his college passes to Staffords 58.something%. In that respect he's a better prospect. Except that, over one single season of data, who cares? That 64% is meaningless without large sample context. Then there's the talent bubble that is U.S.C.

This guy had a really good comp% in college, you know, he of the 57.3% NFL figure.

Vince Young Statistics - Pro-Football-Reference.com

If this guy (of 54.2% fame) had been able to declare after his Sophomore year, he would have been viewed very differently as a prospect, that's for sure:

Rex Grossman Statistics - Pro-Football-Reference.com

So basically, guys need to be good, but they also need to do it in a large sample.

I love watching Matt Stafford throw balls down the sideline, but if he only completes 58% of his passes, well, I know as an NFL GM, I can do better. In Sanchez' case, well, you probably had a better offense at USC then you'll have in the NFL, so I'm gambling a ton on that adjustment.

Yeah, 65.6%. Not bad. I guess he should have pulled a Sanchez and came out then. Of course whoever drafted him high would still be kicking themselves today. Edit: I just saw he was the 22nd overall pick by the Bears.

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by 53Fan

Yeah, 65.6%. Not bad. I guess he should have pulled a Sanchez and came out then. Of course whoever drafted him high would still be kicking themselves today.

Technically, he wasn't allowed to leave after his Soph. year. NFL rules require three seasons out of H.S. before you can enter the draft. But yeah, like Sanchez it would have been a good career decision.

Nothing would make me happier to see Sanchez fall to the second round, but it only takes one team to make him a first round pick. I can't in good conscience predict that no team with a need at QB will be irresponsible.

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by 53Fan

I just saw he was the 22nd overall pick by the Bears.

At least the Bears have a history of picking bad QBs to boot.

This year will be no exception.