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Re: Peyton Manning or RGIII your choice
Looking at the most recent 20 SuperBowl Champion Quaterbacks:
- 12 of those games were won by a QB drafted in the 1st round within the first 11 picks. (including Steve Young in the Supplemental draft after coming from the USFL)
- 9 of those Super Bowls were won by a QB chosen 1st overall (Incl. Young)
- 15 were won by Quaterbacks who were drafted within the top 33 picks overall (after you account for Favre, Brees and Rodgers)
- 3 were won by Tom Brady (yes we know...drafted 199th overall)
- The other 2 were Kurt Warner and Brad Johnson.
- 3 were won by a QB who was acquired via free agency. (Brees, Dilfer, Brad Johnson)(excluding Warner who was in the Arena league prior to the Rams).
Summary:
60% of the Super Bowls were won by a QB drafted high in the 1st Round.
3 out of 4 were won by QB's drafted in the top 33 picks.
10% were won by FA QB's with an historically great defense.
1 was one by a free agent QB without a great defense.
1 was one by a once in a generation Cinderella Story (Warner)
You have a great chance to win with a late round "developmental QB"....if his name is Tom Brady.
My hope:
We draft our guy high in the 1st round.
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RG3 or bust!!!!!!!!!!
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