Election predictions thread

[MTK]

Originally Posted by 12thMan

8 hour lines in Georgia today. Three hours here in NC.

good to hear

[MTK]

Originally Posted by Buster

McCain will win by at least 5-6% and by over 100 EC votes.

The fact that Obama is not up by at LEAST 10 points in the polls is bad, bad news to his campaign since polls are always weighted in Democrats' favors. Remember how Kerry was up last time and lost? Gore? Even McGovern had a lead over Reagan a month out.

The lead has been rapidly shrinking for Obama this week as the pollsters adjust to try to salvage credibility.

Choosing Prosperity and Strength: The Polls Move Towards McCain
Townhall.com::Blog

In my state, PA, a few days ago, Obama was up by 10-12 points.

now:



Also, early voting SHOCKINGLY has been in favor of McCain and independent "undecided" voters are almost all doing to McCain.

sorry I just have to...

[MTK]

Originally Posted by NM Redskin

I thopught this was interesting ... the guy is in baseball stats so I thought it was fitting, hes got 344 to 193

FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right

That wasn't too far off

[saden1]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

sorry I just have to...

That's cold...a Redskins loss and an Obama win has got to hurt.

Buster, I feel for you man, be strong.