jsarno's top 5 picks week 4.

[jsarno]

Week 1- 3-2, $50
Week 2- 5-0, $250
Week 3- 3-2, $50

Time for week 4. I just got my sheet, hott off the presses, so here are my top 5 picks in no particular order:

1- Tennessee -3. They are high on my power poll due to the fact they have by far the best D in football right now. I still feel Minnesota is overrated even with AP. This game is in Tennessee which means this will be a game that Tennessee will man handle. Tennessee will stop AP (for the most part) and fluster Frerotte.

2- Green Bay +1. I was a little shocked to see Green Bay as the underdog in this game. Tampa is likely the worst of the 2-1 teams, not saying they are awful or anything, just saying that Green Bay is better, and considerably better. Green Bay will be out to prove they are for real after getting beat badly by Dallas.

3- Denver -9.5. I ABSOLUTELY HATE to take teams with this high of a spread, but in this case, I feel the Denver offense is extremely potent, and KC...well, they just suck. Had the spread been 10, I'd stay away, but that half point does intrigue me, and I feel Denver will run away with this. The rumor is Huard will start again, and I have no doubt that he will not be effective, or well prepared. We likely will see a QB change DURING the game.

4- Arizona +1.5 I am a believer in Arizona. They have a good team, and I hesitate to take them due to previous years of thinking they would come around, and didn't....but this year is different. The Jets have an average team, and while Favre does make them better, he also makes them more likely to turn the ball over. Give Warner enough chances, and he'll beat you.

5- Washington +11 I know, I know, I just said last week I stay away from the Skins games, however, this game SCREAMS to me. Since the SKins drafted Cooley for the 04 season, we have 4 losses to the Cowboys, here are the amounts we lost by: 3, 3, 17, 5. Dallas has had the better team in just about all of those matchups, and yet the Skins still have won 4 of the last 6. The SKins and Cowboys always tend to play each other close. I'm not predicting a win for the Skins, but I am saying if you give me 11, I'll take it.

As usual, feel free to disagree, I look forward to the comments.