The myth of the 'hot' coordinator/'hot' college coach

[Paintrain]

As we wait for Fassel to be named, to offset some of the 'why oh why didn't we hire a fresh new coach' foolishness, take a look at the records of the first time head coaches and college coaches since 2004. I'll admit I hijacked some of the stats from an ES thread that had a different topic but supported my point.

Buffalo Bills (2004) - Mike Mularkey (14-18)-No playoffs
Miami Dolphins (2005) - Nick Saban (15-17)-No playoffs
Miami Dolphins (2007) - Cam Cameron (1-15)-No playoffs
New York Jets (2006) - Eric Mangini (14-19)-1 playoff appearance, 0 wins
Cleveland Browns (2005) - Romeo Crennel (20-28)-No playoffs
Pittsburgh Steelers (2007) - Mike Tomlin (10-6)-1 playoff appearance, 0 wins
Houston Texans (2006) - Gary Kubiak (14-18)-No playoffs
Oakland Raiders (2006) - Art Shell (2-14)-No playoffs
Oakland Raiders (2007) - Lane Kiffin (4-12)-No playoffs
Chicago Bears (2004) - Lovie Smith (38-30)-2 playoff appearances, 3 wins
Detroit Lions (2006) - Rod Marinelli (10-22)-No playoffs
Green Bay Packers (2006) - Mike McCarthy (22-12)-2 playoff appearances, 1 win
Minnesota Vikings (2006) - Brad Childress (14-18)-No playoffs
Atlanta Falcons (2004) - Jim Mora Jr (26-22)-1 playoff apearance, 2 wins
Atlanta Falcons (2007) - Bobby Petrino (3-10)-No playoffs
New Orleans Saints (2006) - Sean Payton (17-15)-1 playoff appearance, 2 wins
Arizona Cardinals (2007) - Ken Whisenhunt (8-8)-No playoffs
St. Louis Rams (2006) - Scott Linehan (11-21)-No playoffs
San Francisco 49ers (2005) - Mike Nolan (16-32)-No playoffs

20 coaches, 8 total playoff appearances, 8 playoff wins (1 Super Bowl-'06 Bears)

As I stated in another thread, 9 of the last 11 Super Bowls were won by 'retread' coaches. Other 'retreads' Jon Gruden, Wade Phillips, Tom Coughlin, Norv Turner, Bill Belichek, Mike Holmgren, Tony Dungy and our own Joe Gibbs were 'retreads' or coaches on their 2nd go around all were in the playoffs this year..

The myth that the next best thing is a coordinator or college coach (Spags, Meeks, Schwartz, Carroll) just isn't reflected in the numbers..