D'boyz Week 4 Picks

D'BOYZ · 09-29-2007, 03:45 AM

THE DON'S
Crystal Ball
WEEK 4 PICKS

By DonCanabis
CP Analyst/Godfather

This was a great week against the spread (11-5). Vegas is beginning to submit to my wisdom. Arizona and a guy named Warner almost pulled my upset pick, but fell through in the last minute. Of my hot picks, once again Indianapolis let me down in the fourth quarter, and Washington apparently decided they could win with backups in the second half, because they just didn't show up.

It looks like my early surprise team of 2007 is picking up, as Tampa Bay sits with a 2-1 record with a high chance of being 3-1 by Monday.

On with the picks...

Houston at Atlanta +3 Ovr/Und 39

Houston is playing with a lot of heart, but they miss all their players. It looks like Schaub will be without his top two WRs (Johnson and Jones) and RB (Green), but their defense is still there and will make it hard for an Atlanta team that prefers to do their talking on the sideline rather than the field...Expect a low-scoring game because of the injuries.

Straight: Houston
Spread: Atlanta
Ovr/Und: Under

Baltimore at Cleveland +4.5 Ovr/Und 40

I don't like what I'm seeing out of Baltimore. That defense is letting teams get back in the game, and the offense has been awful two weeks in a row. They just barely win. Cleveland is making Dallas sweat each week, because what at first looked like an easy chance to take McFadden next year is starting to look not so good.

Straight: Baltimore
Spread: Baltimore
Ovr/Und: Over

Oakland at Miami -4 Ovr/Und 42

Porter guarantees victory. We know what that means: Miami loses. Culpepper against Trent Green...just because I don't want McNabb to call me biased, I'll take Culpepper... (I would anyway!)

Straight: Oakland
Spread: Oakland
Ovr/Und: Under

Green Bay at Minnesota +2 Ovr/Und 38

Favre has had trouble against the Vikings his whole career, but that was when they had a team. I don't see this week as the one that GB falls. This is usually a close game between the two and high-scoring. Take GB and the points.

Straight: Green Bay
Spread: Green Bay
Ovr/Und: Over

New York Jets at Buffalo +3.5 Ovr/Und 37

If Buffalo keeps this rhythm, it will be looking for players in the AF2 league. Chad looked good against Miami. He shouldn't have any problems against Buffalo.

Straight: N.Y. Jets
Spread: N.Y. Jets
Ovr/Und: Under

St. Louis at Dallas -13.5 Ovr/Und 46

Another team filled with injuries. Jackson is out, most of their O-line is out, and their QB is hurt. I hate given games, because they somehow always turn on you...take the Cowboys, and take the points.

Straight: Dallas
Spread: Dallas
Ovr/Und: Over

Chicago at Detroit +3 Ovr/Und 45
UPSET OF THE WEEK

There are two pieces of good news for Detroit...one, Griese isn't McNabb, so their defense can breathe a little, and two, half of Chicago's defense will sit this one out.

Straight: Detroit
Spread: Detroit
Ovr/Und: Under

Tampa Bay at Carolina -3 Ovr/Und 39.5

There's something about Delhomme's injury I just don't like, and if Carr goes in, it's game over. Each week it looks like my surprise team of '07 will take the division.

Straight: Tampa Bay
Spread: Tampa Bay
Ovr/Und: Under

Seattle at San Francisco +2.5 Ovr/Und 40.5

Until Smith can prove he can lead this offense and score points, I just won't believe in them. Even with a banged-up Alexander, Seattle takes the division lead.

Straight: Seattle
Spread: Seattle
Ovr/Und: Under

Kansas City at San Diego -12 Ovr/Und 39

The Chiefs took their first win...don't hold your breath for the next one. Norv has proved to us so far that he's just a good OC, nothing more at this rate. He could be gone next year.

Straight: San Diego
Spread: San Diego
Ovr/Und: Over

Pittsburgh at Arizona +6 Ovr/Und 41.5

Can you ask for an easier first month for the Steelers? Let's see...Cleveland, Buffalo, San Francisco, and now the Cardinals. Who makes these schedules?? And, looking at the rest of the games, they could easily be looking at a 13-3 record. Right now Leinart is proving why he wasn't the first QB taken in the draft last year.

Straight: Pittsburgh
Spread: Pittsburgh
Ovr/Und: Under

Denver at Indianapolis -9.5 Ovr/Und 46.5

I told you that Denver's offense doesn't look good, but long gone are the days when the Colts just overpower their competition with offense. We're now seeing more close games for them and a better use of the clock. Expect Indianapolis to take the W, but they won't cover.

Straight: Indianapolis
Spread: Denver
Ovr/Und: Under

Philadelphia at New York Giants +3 Ovr/Und 48

Philadelphia last week looked like the powerhouse it used to be for many years. New York played a good second half, but their top WR is hurt. I don't know, but McNabb has a tendency to make any guy from the street look like an all-pro WR.

Straight: Philadelphia
Spread: Philadelphia
Ovr/Und: Over

New England at Cincinnati +7 Ovr/Und 52.5

Brady and Moss against that defense...man, the spread is too low! Add that Cincinnati's offense has become one-dimensional without Rudy...it's not even close.

Straight: New England
Spread: New England
Ovr/Und: Over

Hot Picks
Green Bay
New York Jets
Dallas
Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh
New England

60% Overall for the Season, 1-4 Upsets

And if it turns out any other way, I'll deny I said this!

09-29-2007, 03:45 AM	#1
D'BOYZ The Starter Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 1,363	D'boyz Week 4 Picks THE DON'S Crystal Ball WEEK 4 PICKS By DonCanabis CP Analyst/Godfather This was a great week against the spread (11-5). Vegas is beginning to submit to my wisdom. Arizona and a guy named Warner almost pulled my upset pick, but fell through in the last minute. Of my hot picks, once again Indianapolis let me down in the fourth quarter, and Washington apparently decided they could win with backups in the second half, because they just didn't show up. It looks like my early surprise team of 2007 is picking up, as Tampa Bay sits with a 2-1 record with a high chance of being 3-1 by Monday. On with the picks... Houston at Atlanta +3 Ovr/Und 39 Houston is playing with a lot of heart, but they miss all their players. It looks like Schaub will be without his top two WRs (Johnson and Jones) and RB (Green), but their defense is still there and will make it hard for an Atlanta team that prefers to do their talking on the sideline rather than the field...Expect a low-scoring game because of the injuries. Straight: Houston Spread: Atlanta Ovr/Und: Under Baltimore at Cleveland +4.5 Ovr/Und 40 I don't like what I'm seeing out of Baltimore. That defense is letting teams get back in the game, and the offense has been awful two weeks in a row. They just barely win. Cleveland is making Dallas sweat each week, because what at first looked like an easy chance to take McFadden next year is starting to look not so good. Straight: Baltimore Spread: Baltimore Ovr/Und: Over Oakland at Miami -4 Ovr/Und 42 Porter guarantees victory. We know what that means: Miami loses. Culpepper against Trent Green...just because I don't want McNabb to call me biased, I'll take Culpepper... (I would anyway!) Straight: Oakland Spread: Oakland Ovr/Und: Under Green Bay at Minnesota +2 Ovr/Und 38 Favre has had trouble against the Vikings his whole career, but that was when they had a team. I don't see this week as the one that GB falls. This is usually a close game between the two and high-scoring. Take GB and the points. Straight: Green Bay Spread: Green Bay Ovr/Und: Over New York Jets at Buffalo +3.5 Ovr/Und 37 If Buffalo keeps this rhythm, it will be looking for players in the AF2 league. Chad looked good against Miami. He shouldn't have any problems against Buffalo. Straight: N.Y. Jets Spread: N.Y. Jets Ovr/Und: Under St. Louis at Dallas -13.5 Ovr/Und 46 Another team filled with injuries. Jackson is out, most of their O-line is out, and their QB is hurt. I hate given games, because they somehow always turn on you...take the Cowboys, and take the points. Straight: Dallas Spread: Dallas Ovr/Und: Over Chicago at Detroit +3 Ovr/Und 45 UPSET OF THE WEEK There are two pieces of good news for Detroit...one, Griese isn't McNabb, so their defense can breathe a little, and two, half of Chicago's defense will sit this one out. Straight: Detroit Spread: Detroit Ovr/Und: Under Tampa Bay at Carolina -3 Ovr/Und 39.5 There's something about Delhomme's injury I just don't like, and if Carr goes in, it's game over. Each week it looks like my surprise team of '07 will take the division. Straight: Tampa Bay Spread: Tampa Bay Ovr/Und: Under Seattle at San Francisco +2.5 Ovr/Und 40.5 Until Smith can prove he can lead this offense and score points, I just won't believe in them. Even with a banged-up Alexander, Seattle takes the division lead. Straight: Seattle Spread: Seattle Ovr/Und: Under Kansas City at San Diego -12 Ovr/Und 39 The Chiefs took their first win...don't hold your breath for the next one. Norv has proved to us so far that he's just a good OC, nothing more at this rate. He could be gone next year. Straight: San Diego Spread: San Diego Ovr/Und: Over Pittsburgh at Arizona +6 Ovr/Und 41.5 Can you ask for an easier first month for the Steelers? Let's see...Cleveland, Buffalo, San Francisco, and now the Cardinals. Who makes these schedules?? And, looking at the rest of the games, they could easily be looking at a 13-3 record. Right now Leinart is proving why he wasn't the first QB taken in the draft last year. Straight: Pittsburgh Spread: Pittsburgh Ovr/Und: Under Denver at Indianapolis -9.5 Ovr/Und 46.5 I told you that Denver's offense doesn't look good, but long gone are the days when the Colts just overpower their competition with offense. We're now seeing more close games for them and a better use of the clock. Expect Indianapolis to take the W, but they won't cover. Straight: Indianapolis Spread: Denver Ovr/Und: Under Philadelphia at New York Giants +3 Ovr/Und 48 Philadelphia last week looked like the powerhouse it used to be for many years. New York played a good second half, but their top WR is hurt. I don't know, but McNabb has a tendency to make any guy from the street look like an all-pro WR. Straight: Philadelphia Spread: Philadelphia Ovr/Und: Over New England at Cincinnati +7 Ovr/Und 52.5 Brady and Moss against that defense...man, the spread is too low! Add that Cincinnati's offense has become one-dimensional without Rudy...it's not even close. Straight: New England Spread: New England Ovr/Und: Over Hot Picks Green Bay New York Jets Dallas Tampa Bay Pittsburgh New England 60% Overall for the Season, 1-4 Upsets And if it turns out any other way, I'll deny I said this!

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