Quote:
Originally Posted by Schneed10
This was basically the point of my post. Sabermetrics is relatively useless in football because nobody's been able to do any of the things I mentioned.
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i understand that, but when you go from saying there's a probability that brady would win you five more games to stating it as a fact that's annoying some i think.
those stats aren't proven, and while it is useful, they're not definitive, it's just probabilities vs average (and generally, it's average production, not average talent)... the actual game scorers that provide their basic data feed are NOT accounted for either among other things (ie, philly's scorers tend to count passes throw directly out of bounds as PDs for the nearest defender, but most scorers don't do that).
because most of the work doesn't factor out all that much (it's better than nothing, but on a scale of 1 to 10, it might be a 3 or 4) so quoting it as definitive or fact is really pretty misleading.
*the team stats are actually pretty decent, it's just the individual stats and finding specific answers based off vague input data that's not great.