Fantasy Football Keeper League Question

[scowan]

Guys, I need some help,

I am in a 10 team Keeper league this year where I can keep 2 players from last year's team. I am Keeping Clinton Portis (which cost me my 2nd round pick) and I need to choose between A. Boldin at WR or Warrick Dunn at RB as my 2nd keeper. Both guys will cost me a 6th round pick. The scoring in our league is fairly simple. No points for receptions, but 1 point for every 10 yards rushing or receiving and 6 points for each TD.

Who would you keep? Boldin or Dunn?

[That Guy]

easy call, boldin. dunn is old and not elite.

[scowan]

That Guy, I know you are somewhat of an expert on these things, so here is my 2nd question. I won my 10 team league last year, so I have the 10th and last pick in the 1st round this year. My 1st pick in the 2nd round is my Keeper, Portis. Who should I expect to be avaialbe and go after with that 10 pick in the 1st round.

[That Guy]

depends on whos being kept and what the rules are... it'd be around #30 in a normal draft, so plenty of good starters will be left. I'd look for a 2nd RB if you start 2 each week, unless a WR/QB like smith or manning are left sitting around for some reason.

[That Guy]

QB T Brady, C Palmer
RB J. Jones, D. Davis, W Mcgahee, W Parker, R Bush
WR H. Ward, R. Moss, C Chambers, S Moss
TE A. Gates


JJ is a much better pick than Davis (who's just waiting to get injured again) or Mcgahee (no OL or QB). Those are guys around #30 in the draft. It' always possibly for a higher pick to fall, so watch for that, since i'm not including the LTs et al here.

Long term bush, or either of those QBs are worthwhile, though Bush has the most FF upside.

[Monkeydad]

Easily Boldin. He's young, he's one of the more consistent at WR...a position where there's only a handful of guys you can count on week-to-week. He produces more than Dunn.

Dunn doesn't have much gas left in his tank. For a keeper league, you want to avoid keeping old guys unless they're REALLY elite.

[ArtMonkDrillz]

Originally Posted by Buster

Dunn doesn't have much gas left in his tank. For a keeper league, you want to avoid keeping old guys unless they're REALLY elite.

Plus, you could probably dump Dunn now and then go back and draft him later on. I doubt he'll go right away.

[scowan]

Originally Posted by ArtMonkDrillz

Plus, you could probably dump Dunn now and then go back and draft him later on. I doubt he'll go right away.

Warrick Dunn was good in yardage leagues last year. He did not score often, but it seemed like he always got 100 combined rushing/rec yards in every game. He was a consitstant "fill'in" if I had a RB go down or take a BYE.

I am high on Steven Jackson this year. What do you guys think? I think his upside is huge on a team that should run the ball more than they have in the past. I don't see Faulk taking many carries away from him. He is considered by most a 2nd or 3rd tier RB.

[scowan]

That Guy,

Basically the steal of the first round is that Larry Johnson will be kept from last year because he was drafted in round 12 last year, but other obvious 1st round picks are back in. I had Shawn Alexander last year, but we all could not keep any of our 1st round picks from last year and he was a 1st rounder.
Point system is pretty basic. Not Skewed toward any position over another.

[scowan]

Would you take Reggie Bush in the first round? It seems a little high for a Rookie that will start out spliting time with McAllister.

[That Guy]

Originally Posted by scowan

Would you take Reggie Bush in the first round? It seems a little high for a Rookie that will start out spliting time with McAllister.

no, though there i hope he'd be lining up at WR every other play. bush is a 3rd-5th rounder (in a 10 team league), but 20 picks are already gone and he has long term potential since duece will be gone soon. If shaun etc are there, those are MUCH better picks.

and never take a QB in the first round unless the top 9 RBs are already gone. if steven jackon is there, take him. I didn't know you guys threw first rounders back in the pot.

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by scowan

Would you take Reggie Bush in the first round? It seems a little high for a Rookie that will start out spliting time with McAllister.

If you can't keep first rounders (thats a weird rule), there is no benefit to drafting Bush in the first round. In fact, because of that rule, you really can't pick him. If you have a chance to get a top of the line QB at #10 do it (assuming that the top tier RBs are gone), but if Manning, Brady, and Palmer are gone, I'd take the best available RB or Antonio Gates.

The fact that you don't pick again for 20 more picks is the key to this draft. You really have to get a great compliment to Portis here. Keep Boldin and try to draft someone better than Dunn.

[MTK]

Dunn has never been a big TD guy. I'd definitely keep Boldin, he'll probably be close to 100 catches again this year. Too bad you don't get any points for receptions.

[scowan]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

Dunn has never been a big TD guy. I'd definitely keep Boldin, he'll probably be close to 100 catches again this year. Too bad you don't get any points for receptions.

Matty, I would love 100 catches, because it would probably mean 1200+ yards, but I think Edge James is going to hurt him somewhat. I guess I am wondering if he will still be a top 10 WR with E. James joining the team.

[MTK]

Look at the Colts, EJ still got his yards there and Harrison and Wayne still got their catches.

Difference is of course Peyton Manning vs. Kurt Warner. I'll give the slight edge to Manning.