Quote:
Originally Posted by 30gut
BTW- Do you have any comment about the fact that Locker and Gabbert have similar efficiency numbers?
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Actually, yes. I assume you meant "in 2010", because they're not close for their careers.
The biggest differences between them were:
-Completion percentage much higher for Gabbert
-Sack rate a little bit lower for Gabbert (not a passing efficiency component)
-Rushing Efficiency decisively in the favor of Locker (not a passing efficiency component)
-Gabbert had more attempts, mostly, because Locker missed a game and parts of two others.
I think if you wanted to say that Locker and Gabbert had more similar seasons than they were different, that would make some sense. I also think that it would be reasonable to say that Gabbert as a junior was not a significantly better college player than Locker as a fourth or fifth year senior.
I think that's as far as that argument would take you though. Gabbert probably wouldn't be a top pick this if he wasn't exceptional as a first year starter in 2009, but it seems reasonable to argue that he would have been better in 2011 with more receiver experience than he was in 2010 had he come back for his senior year. I am NOT saying he should automatically get credit for leaving that last year on the table. I am saying that Gabbert looks the part of a top ten pick (and I would take him at no. 10 if he's there), but still carries some concern, namely that the questions we would all have about him as a Senior in 2011 will be left unanswered.