Quote:
Originally Posted by wilsowilso
The bust rate for top tier NFL prospect QB's has always been and will always be high.
Why is that?
Professional evaluators f this transition up at an astronomical rate.
Me thinks the evaluation PACKAGE for half of these talent projecting clowns is terribly flawed.
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Methinks you're right.
Some guys who are drafted high were just poor college players (Ryan Leaf, David Carr, Matt Stafford). QB Demand usually exceeds the number of quality prospects. That's the other reason.
There are good prospects in this draft. I just feel like of the 3 or 4 first rounders, you're really going to take 1 or 2 who deserve to go that high, and 2 others who just don't measure up because teams NEED someone who can be the face of their organization and can't wait.
Which is to say, there are better players later on in the draft, but those players aren't always distinguishable from each other (and I think teams know this), and so teams with needs shrink the supply to just 3 or 4 guys, and don't give anyone else a chance. I could say "Cam Newton's body of work says third-fourth round pick", and I'd probably be right. But you take one look at Cam Newton, and you KNOW he's going in the first round. Some team will fall in love with him. He brings tangible skills that you can't get later.
That's why a draft is usually only going to produce 1, maybe 2 guys who get second contracts with their teams.