Quote:
Originally Posted by Hogroll
FYI...
From the 2000 through 2007 regular seasons, there have been 124 overtime games. In every single game except one (I believe), the team that won the toss elected to receive. And those receiving teams won 60% of the time (and tied once). That's a relatively large advantage, particularly when compared to home field advantage.
Home teams have only won 51% of OT games. The weakness of HFA isn't too surprising given the way it diminishes throughout a game. It's strongest in the 1st quarter and then diminishes through subsequent quarters until it's almost non-existent in OT. Fans are presumably at their most involved at this point in a game, which suggests crowd involvement is not the primary source of HFA.
I got that from here: Advanced NFL Stats: How Important is the Coin Flip in OT? |
If I'm correct that stat also encludes games where both teams had a chance at O but the team that won the coin toss still won the game. I think its more like 53% of the time that the team that wins the coin toss wins the game in the first drive.