Quote:
Originally Posted by BaltimoreSkins
Cred was hesitant I think because of the last game day thread he started, so I'll do it.
I do not think we will see a "blue wave" at the national level if it happens it will be at the local level. I am far more interested to see governor races and state houses play out. Also initiatives like voter id laws (imo biased), same day registration, in Maryland casino revenue, and of course pot.
On the national level I think I believe the narrative the most dems make subtle gains in the house and lose seats in senate.
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Yeah, I start it, and the House would go 410-25 Dem's LOL
The blue wave will mostly be the governor races. I will find it interesting to see if the polling uncovered the reluctant Trump voter or if there still were a large number of inaccurate polls based on reluctance of respondents to be counted.
I think where you see large undecided numbers those races will swing toward Trump voters. Where polls are 50 49 or very few undecided, I think you will see Dems win. I also think that the Dem numbers are likely very accurate on polls, as their base is not only motivated but very outspoken toward pollsters. Conversely a significant portion of the Rep base has the basic distrust of polls and pollsters.
If there is even a 4% "hidden" poll error, a lot of the tossups go quickly to Republicans.
On this same side, I think the exit polls will skew the same way, as liberals will wear their votes on their sleeves, and many conservatives will withhold comment.