I really don't see how the ME can't explode into a major war, though I hope it doesn't.
The latest tidbit :
U.S. confirms Iran tested nuclear-capable ballistic missile
So they violated a UNSC resolution that they had said would stay in effect until the whole new deal takes place.
The situation reminds me of Pre WWI Europe in so many ways, I just wonder what nutjob will shoot the shot that leads down to global warfare.