With the 19th Pick, the WFT selects....

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Chico23231
04-21-2021, 10:09 AM
There is not enough reliable information to make anything except a blind guess, which is all most mock drafts are. I also think some of the names draftniks love are not those FOs love.

I think top-3 QBs and Sewell, Pitts, Chase go top-10 or before we pick. Beyond that, who knows?

You'd love to see teams draft 5 QBs and 3-4 WRs before we pick so we get a guy rated much higher than 19, but. . .

If we have no T with high grade left on board and all 5 QBs gone, I hope we trade back, barring something absurd like Parsons falling. I prefer proven PASS blocking LTs, I don't care about run blocking, which means some Ts draftniks rate high I would have no interest in.

If we exit round 1 with one of franchise LTs, that would be best outcome in my opinion. As to who we'll pick, I don't know nor does anyone, so seems pointless to just throw darts at a board. Most years don't find franchise LT sitting there at 20 or so where we hopefully pick long term, so get one now. You can always find LBs or WRs. Stud pass blocking LTs much rarer, and again, one of 5 high-leverage positions. Outside of top-tier Ts, lot of guys in second tier very similar, trading down thus may be smart. My ideal draft would be multiple trade downs and we walk away with LT,RT,OLB,ILB,OLB,FS,FS,QB,QB,RB,WR,CB,TE,TE. That's 14 picks we could easily make, even if you knock one or two off, 12 picks. I would much rather have 2 #2s and 3 #3s and 2 #4s (or whatever) and no #1 and maybe get 5-6 starters--unless franchise LT sitting there at 19. We still have severe talent deficit from previous mismanagement and need 10-15 quality players. Thus I would trade down every chance I could so next year we don't have to sign 8 FAs and still don't have holes all over roster. This is MUCH more important than any single player at any pick, except a franchise QB or franchise LT. If I were GM, my focus would be drafting 2 QBs (never would have signed Fitz) and drafting 2 Ts so can let Moses and Lucas walk next year, without reaching for need. If LB waits a year, not optimal, but oh well. You win in trenches and never win multiple SBs without franchise QB, so I'd be using lottery picks on QB without trading up and focus on making OL as dominant as DL.

Will be interesting if Lance or Jones falls to 13 or so, and if we trade up, but who knows if that will happen.

Scalper, tell me who the franchise LT is at 19

skinsfaninok
04-21-2021, 10:38 AM
Probably 3 terrible busts from the top 5 QB this year.

Jones, Lance stand out immediately. Fields in that group too.

Never before have I heard so much certainty from so called experts on these guys when it comes to potential. These fuckin clowns.

I would avoid first round QB this year, it’s a wildly overrated class. Skins should also not draft one in the second round, third rounds. We have 3 QB on the roster, take this year to continue to add talent to the areas we need it most, it would be much more impactful

Yeah out of the whole group I'd be shocked if 2 make it long term at most 3.

And I bet there will be a later RD GUY that has a Cousins like career

If I had to bet I'd say Lawrence of course and then Lance will be the 2 good ones. I just don't trust OSU QBs after Haskins.. I know they are different and Fields is way better but until its proven I won't buy it

Chief X_Phackter
04-21-2021, 10:41 AM
Scalper, tell me who the franchise LT is at 19

Exactly.

There won't be one. You'd be better off trading the 19th pick for Orlando Brown Jr. if you are that bent on landing a "franchise" LT at that spot. BTW, I'm not suggesting they do that...

The only projected franchise LT in this draft is Sewell, and there are plenty of talent evaluators that have mixed opinions about that - given his year off. Slater is projected to be the 2nd OT off the board, but many think his best fit will be at guard, and that Darrisaw has a higher ceiling at LT than Slater. After that - Mayfield, Jenkins, Radunz, Little, Brown, Christensen, Leatherwood, Cosmi, Eichenberg... take your pick, but no need to draft one of these guys at 19.

Chico23231
04-21-2021, 10:52 AM
Yeah out of the whole group I'd be shocked if 2 make it long term at most 3.

And I bet there will be a later RD GUY that has a Cousins like career

If I had to bet I'd say Lawrence of course and then Lance will be the 2 good ones. I just don't trust OSU QBs after Haskins.. I know they are different and Fields is way better but until its proven I won't buy it

I think the stats speak for themselves when drafting a QB in the first round. I have also read recently WR in the first round is widely volatile as well.

Scalper
04-21-2021, 10:54 AM
Probably 3 terrible busts from the top 5 QB this year.

Jones, Lance stand out immediately. Fields in that group too.

Never before have I heard so much certainty from so called experts on these guys when it comes to potential. These fuckin clowns.

I would avoid first round QB this year, it’s a wildly overrated class. Skins should also not draft one in the second round, third rounds. We have 3 QB on the roster, take this year to continue to add talent to the areas we need it most, it would be much more impactful

Amen. Certainly not trade up. Historically speaking, 2-3 of 5 will bust. To me, Jones safer than Lance and Fields, but who knows, he doesn't have elite athleticism but is more like Peyton Manning or Brees 2.0. Without tons of talent, he could fall off a cliff though.

Historically speaking, one of next 5-10 QBs after top-5 will be better than half of top-5. Question is which ones? A good FO can find the ones, and we can still get a franchise LT or whatever in 1st round.

If you put a gun to my head and forced me to roll the dice on Lance, Fields, or Jones, it is tough because Jones is safe pick, but Lance has a CANNON arm. So hard to find franchise QB, but I'm rolling dice, would at least be a guy with elite arm. Would be very interesting to see film of Jones making NFL throws only, rather than the gravy throws on his highlight reels.

SkinzWin
04-21-2021, 10:42 PM
This is a great article about Micah Parsons.

https://www.pennlive.com/pennstatefootball/2021/04/moms-biggest-blessing.html

skinsfan69
04-22-2021, 02:59 AM
History shows 2 or 3 out of the 5 that will go in the first round will bust. Jones to me isn't even a first rounder.

Chico23231
04-22-2021, 09:24 AM
This is a great article about Micah Parsons.

https://www.pennlive.com/pennstatefootball/2021/04/moms-biggest-blessing.html

This is an outstanding article...thanks for sharing.

Parsons could be the best defensive player in the class...I wouldn’t have a problem moving up a little if he fell

skinsfaninok
04-22-2021, 09:35 AM
I don't think Parsons will be there at 19

Chief X_Phackter
04-22-2021, 09:40 AM
But I thought he had all kind of character issues and red flags that would cause him to slide...

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