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Who's to say? You could be right, if, things look exactly like they do today with the virus. But that's probably not gonna be the case.
The virus will either spike hard when the country reopens, or it will continue to decline.
If it continues to decline, over the next 3 months, I think it's highly possible that the NFL's current plan for full stadiums happens.
Time will tell.
I think we're a long ways off from large gatherings like packed stadiums for sports or concerts. And with massive unemployment who's going to drop hundreds of dollars on a game?
Pervis_Griffith 05-28-2020, 01:12 PM I think we're a long ways off from large gatherings like packed stadiums for sports or concerts. And with massive unemployment who's going to drop hundreds of dollars on a game?
It's May 28.
And this virus isn't as deadly as it was supposed to be when we took drastic actions to shut the world down. Positive tests are exploding, but deaths and hospitalizations are still declining.
Sure there will be some to scared to resume normal life. But most will.
There are 3 long months before the regular season starts.
Like I said ... time will tell.
Yeah a lot can definitely change in 3 months, like 100,000 dead, and that was with shutting everything down.
SolidSnake84 05-28-2020, 01:39 PM Yeah a lot can definitely change in 3 months, like 100,000 dead, and that was with shutting everything down.
I know i am the resident doom and gloom / armageddon guy here, but even I think that we will never see another widespread lockdown like what we just endured. I think more likely will be hotspot cities will be quarantined IF there is another flare up. Even Dr. Fauci is now saying that it is not a "given" that we see a resurgance of the virus.
I also think that by next year at this time, Coronavirus has been replaced in the media with whatever else is the big talking point. There will be a risk, sure, but slowly and surely i feel like people are getting more confident by the day.
And that is also one way a pandemic ends, when the population decides that the loss of liberty / quality of life, etc. outweighs the risk of the virus. People at some point will "move on" so to speak and go back to living their every day lives again.
Pervis_Griffith 05-28-2020, 01:39 PM Yeah a lot can definitely change in 3 months, like 100,000 dead, and that was with shutting everything down.
That won't happen between now and Aug 28.
Promise you.
Pervis_Griffith 05-28-2020, 01:44 PM I know i am the resident doom and gloom / armageddon guy here, but even I think that we will never see another widespread lockdown like what we just endured. I think more likely will be hotspot cities will be quarantined IF there is another flare up. Even Dr. Fauci is now saying that it is not a "given" that we see a resurgance of the virus.
I also think that by next year at this time, Coronavirus has been replaced in the media with whatever else is the big talking point. There will be a risk, sure, but slowly and surely i feel like people are getting more confident by the day.
And that is also one way a pandemic ends, when the population decides that the loss of liberty / quality of life, etc. outweighs the risk of the virus. People at some point will "move on" so to speak and go back to living their every day lives again.
Exactly.
When all is said and done, this virus' mortality rates may be 3 times that as the flu. Which would mean that 99.7 per cent of those who get it, survive. People will easily decide that living life will outweigh the risks associated with this form of COVID.
It still sucks to have people die from this ... I lost an aunt and uncle to COVID 19. It's been brutal.
But 0.3% is a far cry from the 3 and 4% some models were predicting back in February/March.
That won't happen between now and Aug 28.
Promise you.
I don't think so either. I just don't think we're going to see packed stadiums until next year at the earliest. Hope I'm wrong but I just don't see how we can get there so quickly. That would be an awfully quick turnaround to go from lockdown to stadiums full of people in 6 months without a vaccine or proven treatments. We'll see.
I know i am the resident doom and gloom / armageddon guy here, but even I think that we will never see another widespread lockdown like what we just endured. I think more likely will be hotspot cities will be quarantined IF there is another flare up. Even Dr. Fauci is now saying that it is not a "given" that we see a resurgance of the virus.
I also think that by next year at this time, Coronavirus has been replaced in the media with whatever else is the big talking point. There will be a risk, sure, but slowly and surely i feel like people are getting more confident by the day.
And that is also one way a pandemic ends, when the population decides that the loss of liberty / quality of life, etc. outweighs the risk of the virus. People at some point will "move on" so to speak and go back to living their every day lives again.
Maybe not from this virus, but long term the next one may not be as forgiving. Hopefully we're better prepared next time.
SCRedskinsFan 05-28-2020, 02:10 PM This virus is a long way from being done. For those that say that the fatality rate for this virus is something minuscule, I say do the math. 1.7 million cases, 100,000 dead in three months. There will not be packed stadiums until and unless there is an effective vaccine administered broadly to the population. At best that is months away and not likely this year.
I pray that I am wrong, I fear I am not...
SolidSnake84 05-28-2020, 02:14 PM Exactly.
When all is said and done, this virus' mortality rates may be 3 times that as the flu. Which would mean that 99.7 per cent of those who get it, survive. People will easily decide that living life will outweigh the risks associated with this form of COVID.
It still sucks to have people die from this ... I lost an aunt and uncle to COVID 19. It's been brutal.
But 0.3% is a far cry from the 3 and 4% some models were predicting back in February/March.
I think at one point it was even higher than that. I seem to remember Dr. Fauci giving an initial prediction of 1 million U.S. deaths from it. But i can't remember if he was saying that might be the TOTAL death toll by the time we have a vaccine / effective treatment 2 years down the road or so.
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