skinsfaninok
03-10-2020, 02:21 PM
This is how I would rate the likelihood of our current options:
1. Draft Chase Young - 70%
2. Trade down - 24%
3. Draft a QB at 2 - 4%
4. Trade up for Burrow - 1%
I'd say it's
1. Young - 50%
2. Tua - 25%
3. Trade down - 25%
Young 99%
Trade down 1%
Tua 0.0%
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NYCskinfan82
03-10-2020, 02:38 PM
CY is the common sense pick. Common sense ain't that common. Unless I get at least (3) 1st round picks and one of those 1st has to be 2021 I'm handing in my pick for CY with a big smile
Number44
03-10-2020, 02:38 PM
Young 99%
Trade down 1%
Tua 0.0%
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I agree that drafting Chase Young at #2 is the most likely scenario, but I don't agree that trading down has such a remote chance of happening. RR clearly stirred the pot regarding Tua, and I think that he would welcome trade offers and pull the trigger if a team offers us the moon. I think 67/33 is closer to what RR is thinking about the Young/trade down odds than 99/1.
Chico23231
03-10-2020, 02:38 PM
Young 99%
Trade down 1%
Tua 0.0%
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Yup
I agree that drafting Chase Young at #2 is the most likely scenario, but I don't agree that trading down has such a remote chance of happening. RR clearly stirred the pot regarding Tua, and I think that he would welcome trade offers and pull the trigger if a team offers us the moon. I think 67/33 is closer to what RR is thinking about the Young/trade down odds than 99/1.
I just don’t see that king’s ransom of an offer coming. Not for Tua.
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Monksdown
03-10-2020, 05:34 PM
I think you try to create as much uncertainty and demand for the draft pick as possible. Leveraging national media, etc. to increase a sense of urgency to trade up for the pick.
We wont get 3 first round picks for our single pick. But if that moron should happen to call, you take the trade.
I was all about Chase Young, and then i listened to Mel Kiper's logic on taking Tua instead of Chase. It didnt completely sway me, but there is some fairly sound reasoning behind his view.
I think because of the injury, you pass on Tua, but you make the world think you love him.
skinsfaninok
03-10-2020, 06:02 PM
I think you try to create as much uncertainty and demand for the draft pick as possible. Leveraging national media, etc. to increase a sense of urgency to trade up for the pick.
We wont get 3 first round picks for our single pick. But if that moron should happen to call, you take the trade.
I was all about Chase Young, and then i listened to Mel Kiper's logic on taking Tua instead of Chase. It didnt completely sway me, but there is some fairly sound reasoning behind his view.
I think because of the injury, you pass on Tua, but you make the world think you love him.
It's not just Kiper, others have suggested the same thing. Also who leaked the info on Haskins not reading the playbook? Seems oddly fishy that its just now coming out.
Monksdown
03-10-2020, 06:04 PM
It's not just Kiper, others have suggested the same thing. Also who leaked the info on Haskins not reading the playbook? Seems oddly fishy that its just now coming out.
Yeah, it would appear as though we may be running a bluff. And a bluff the other teams have to honor if they are particularly desperate.
skinsfaninok
03-10-2020, 06:05 PM
I won't be mad if they take Tua but man I love Young.. That is a tough decision IMO