Vegas over/under for Skins wins in "05"

Howdy fellas, just got some information from a buddy in Vegas that a few casinos have started posting lines for over/under bets for all NFL teams for next season. The Redskins are posted at 7.5 wins.

What do you take and how confident are you in the number?

That's not bad considering last I heard we're an underdog to the bears.

I'd go for 8-8 or 9-7 if I'm being realistic. I think we could surprise and have a 10-6 season. I DO think the Bears might be fielding a good team this year with their offseason pickups.

The Bears will have a pretty solid defense, especially along that line. I don't think they got any help on the offense (besides a rookie RB), or did they get some good pickups? Which I thought was kind of silly seeing how well Thomas Jones did last year.

I think the over is a safe bet there. And I'm not just being optomistic in saying that.

It'll be interesting to follow the number and see if it goes up or down to see what the rest of the world thinks about our skins. If it goes up, people are feeling as good as I am about the skins. If it goes down, well then my bias may be blinding me.

Also forgot to mention the Redskins were posted at 40 to 1 to win the Superbowl.

Interesting to note that the closing over/under number for 2004 was 8.5 wins before the season started last year.

You can't just look at the over/under, you have to check the $ line on those bets as well. Sometimes taking the over will pay $13 for every $10 you put down, which means Vegas would pay you a little extra on the over bet, meaning they think it's more likely that the Skins will fall short of the 7.5 win mark.

Assuming it's an even money line, I'd take the over on that. And that's not being a biased Redskins fan. I mean look at how they performed last year once Ramsey took over, they seemed like an 8-8 type team at that point to me. And I gotta think they can only grow from there.

As much as I would like to say we cant be biased, i think its tough not to look through a biased lens being die-hard skins fans....... No matter how bad we are i could never say before the season that we are gonna be 5-11, it would cause me to much pain. "13-3. worst case scenario 12-4," lol

The Bears will have a pretty solid defense, especially along that line. I don't think they got any help on the offense (besides a rookie RB), or did they get some good pickups? Which I thought was kind of silly seeing how well Thomas Jones did last year.

I thought that was kind of weird too. Jones did great and since he's my boy from UVA, it was even more upsetting the Bears took Jones. I guess they want two different kinds of backs.