SS33's Weekly Predictions

Since Don hasn't been posting his weekly thread, I thought I'd start one for those interested in ATS action each football weekend. Post your picks, thoughts, strategies, etc.

Currently I'm leading The Don's league ATS at 38-25 (60%). Here's my picks this week (and yes I'm in on each one):

BUF +4.5
PHI +2.5
STL -12
NYG +10
DET +7
CAR -2.5
MIA -3
IND +3 (also IND +125 money line)
HOU +6.5

Other picks, I'm not in on these though:
NE -1
NO -1
TEN +3
DAL +9
OAK +5

8-7 overall, not a great week last week, but not terrible. EJ Manuel's 3rd qtr injury and a late scratch of Calvin Johnson contributed to a couple Ls.

Week 6 - In on these
CHI -8
STL +7
NYJ -2.5
***Correction - NYJ opened at LasVegas Hilton at +2.5, Sportsbook now showing NYJ -2.5 as of 10/8 at 2pm. ****
JAX +27.5
TEN +13.5
NO +1
AZ +12
IND -2

Other Picks - for those who need to pick all games
CLE +3
KC -9
BAL +3
PHI -1.5
CAR +2.5 (I hate this game)
CIN -8 ( I hate this game also, only going this way because Manuel out)

Anyone think the Jags can cover the 28 point spread this week against te Broncos?

Anyone think the Jags can cover the 28 point spread this week against te Broncos?Yes, here's why:

If you look at the largest point spreads in NFL history only the 1976 Steelers covered a -27 vs. Tampa in their first season. Other games where Dogs covered:

NE in 2007: -24 PHI, -20.5 NYJ, -22 MIA
SF -24 vs CIN 1993
SF -23.5 @ ATL 1987
DAL -23 vs TB 1977
NE -21 at TB 1976

- Henne will start at QB, veteran and likely to protect the ball better than Gabbert.

- Broncos D has given up 23 to NYG and 21 to OAK, averaging 27 per game.

- Jax has one of the higher SoS so far, DEN one of the lower.

Check Post #2 for NYJ correction as of 10/8 at 2pm.

As of 7:53pm, Spread is WAS +6, down from +6.5 earlier this week. I will never bet against the Skins....I recommend to stay off this game.

Overall 7-6-1 last week, not great but did pick JAX, TEN wins and pushed with AZ.

Since my picks are stats based, historically (last 4 years) my picks increase to over 63% accurate from Week 8 and on. As of Week 5, I'm still leading Don's League for ATS picks at 46-31 (59.7%). Also, in that league I never pick against the Skins, who are 1-4 ATS this year.

This week I'm in on:
CAR -6.5
DET -3
KC -7
BUF +8
NE -4.5
CLE +10
MIN +3.5

Others:
SEA -6.5
TB +7.5
JAX +8.5
DAL +2.5
TEN +5
BAL +1
IND +7

Redskins are -1 this week, I will not bet this game.

Tough week 7. Here's Week 8, and picks from a stats-based system that has been accurate over the last 4 years at 63%+.

I'm in on these:
WAS +13
OAK +3 (also money line at +130)
STL +11.5
ATL +2.5
CAR -6.5
CIN -6.5
PHI -5.5
DAL +3
KC -7.5
JAX +17

Others: NO -12, MIA +7, GB -9.5

For Weeks 8 - 12, my picks are 35-20-3 and up $ 1530.00.

For all NFL picks in the Don's league, I was leading thru Week 10 and am now 99-73-4 (57.5%). Don hasn't updated the standings since Week 10, but I had strong Weeks 11-12 so I'm probably still leading ATS. Most "experts" are below 50% this season.

Here's some picks that hopefully we'll be giving thanks for by Monday PM.

DAL -9.5 (2x), CAR -8.5 (2x), CLE -6.5 (2x), NE -8.5 (2x), TEN +4, MIA +1, AZ +3, BUF -3.5, CIN +2, NO +6.

Hope everyone has a safe & Happy Thanksgiving