Seahawks Redskins Rookie Showdown

more i think about this match up, the more I really like it for us. Cant wait til Sunday

i know somebody already posted a link to the story, but here is a link to the video

The Redskins Blog | Griffin III: Newest Member Of The Media? (http://blog.redskins.com/2013/01/02/griffin-iii-newest-member-of-the-media/?module=HP11_content_stream)

I re-watched the Panthers game to remind myself of what life was like before The Streak. Some observations:

1) Our schemes on both offense and defense now are much more creative
2) Our receivers are dropping the ball much less
3) Believe it or not, Tyler Polumbus is playing better. Although he still gets run over, the frequency is less
4) We haven't blown as many coverages and so are not giving up 80 yard plays
5) We have significantly cleaned up our act in terms of penalties

Some stats I put together.

Points allow by Seattle Defense at home and away, [Points scored by Seattle Offense at home and away], { Rushing Yards by Skittles Beast Mode}

At home:
7 - Dallas -------[27]-----{122}
14 - GB ---------[24]------{98}
23 - NE ---------[24]------{41}
20 - Minnesota -[30]-----{124}
7 - NYJ ---------[28]------{124}
0 - Arizona -----[58]-----{128}
13- San Fran ---[42]-----{111}
13 - St. Louis --[20]-----{100}

Away:
20 - Arizona (Loss) ----[16]-----{85}
19 - St. Louis (Loss) --[13]-----{118}
12- Carolina -----------[16]-----{85}
13 - San Fran (Loss) --[6]------{103}
28 Detroit (Loss) ------[24]-----{105}
24 - Miami (Loss) -----[21]-----{46}
17 - Chicago (OT Win) [23]-----{87}
17 - Buffalo ------------[50]----{113}

18.8 Points per game allowed away
12.1 Points per game allowed at home

21.1 Points per game scored away
31.6 Points per game scored at home

92.8 Rushing yards per game by Skittles Beast Mode away
106 Rushing yards per game by Skittles Beast Mode home

Data Analysis Summary:
1) Seahawks allow approx. 7 points more per game on the road than at home.
2) Seahawks score approx. 10.5 less points on the road than at home.
3) Skittles Beast Mode has approx. 13 less rushing yards per game on the road than at home.
4) Seahawks points scored both home and away have trended up toward the end of the season.
5) Seahawks did not lose at home. All losses came on the road.
6) Redskins need to score in the mid 20's to have a good chance to beat the Seahawks.

Game prediction: Redskins 24-Seahawks 17

Some stats I put together.

Points allow by Seattle Defense at home and away, [Points scored by Seattle Offense at home and away], { Rushing Yards by Skittles Beast Mode}

At home:
7 - Dallas -------[27]-----{122}
14 - GB ---------[24]------{98}
23 - NE ---------[24]------{41}
20 - Minnesota -[30]-----{124}
7 - NYJ ---------[28]------{124}
0 - Arizona -----[58]-----{128}
13- San Fran ---[42]-----{111}
13 - St. Louis --[20]-----{100}

Away:
20 - Arizona (Loss) ----[16]-----{85}
19 - St. Louis (Loss) --[13]-----{118}
12- Carolina -----------[16]-----{85}
13 - San Fran (Loss) --[6]------{103}
28 Detroit (Loss) ------[24]-----{105}
24 - Miami (Loss) -----[21]-----{46}
17 - Chicago (OT Win) [23]-----{87}
17 - Buffalo ------------[50]----{113}

18.8 Points per game allowed away
12.1 Points per game allowed at home

21.1 Points per game scored away
31.6 Points per game scored at home

92.8 Rushing yards per game by Skittles Beast Mode away
106 Rushing yards per game by Skittles Beast Mode home

Data Analysis Summary:
1) Seahawks allow approx. 7 points more per game on the road than at home.
2) Seahawks score approx. 10.5 less points on the road than at home.
3) Skittles Beast Mode has approx. 13 less rushing yards per game on the road than at home.
4) Seahawks points scored both home and away have trended up toward the end of the season.
5) Seahawks did not lose at home. All losses came on the road.
6) Redskins need to score in the mid 20's to have a good chance to beat the Seahawks.

Game prediction: Redskins 24-Seahawks 17

Good work

The Redskins are 5-3 at Fed Ex Field this year. The Seahawks are 3-5 on the road this year. How is Seattle 2 1/2 point favorites to win this game? The Redskins should be favorite at home. The Redskins defensively have done excellent against the run and average against the pass.

I expect Coach Haz to dial up those exotic blitzes on Russell Wilson.

Offensively, the Redskins 5th ranked offense will be interesting to watching against the Seahawks 4th ranked defense. Both Alfred Morris and RG3 running the football may help set up the play action pass.

I am completely fine being the underdog. I think this game will be up to the defense to win or lose. I expect the Seahawks D will stack the LOS and control our run game. The WRs need to be on point for this game and bring their A-game.

Oddsmakers think Seattle is a little better than we are. The two option read QB's that they have faced they have totally shut it down. RG3 isn't 100%. Plus they probably have a better defense than we do and are around the same on offense. Those are probably the reasons they're slightly favored.

The oddsmakers also has us as a 6 win team this year.

I re-watched the Panthers game to remind myself of what life was like before The Streak. Some observations:

1) Our schemes on both offense and defense now are much more creative
2) Our receivers are dropping the ball much less
3) Believe it or not, Tyler Polumbus is playing better. Although he still gets run over, the frequency is less
4) We haven't blown as many coverages and so are not giving up 80 yard plays
5) We have significantly cleaned up our act in terms of penalties

This is key. Our receivers are making plays. Straight ballin at times if you ask me. Ike Hilliard has done a great job with this corps throughout the turnaround. The routes are run with confidence- and to tell you the truth- I actually attribute that to RG3 scrambling a bit less.

I'm basing this off intuition and intuition alone- but I'd like to look at the amount of time RG3 has the ball vs. earlier in the year. I feel like the timing of the offense is more in step, and that helps the receivers run efficient routes.

That's also why these Seattle corners scare me. They're big and scary. They will bump some of our smaller receivers and knock them off their routes. We will really need them to step up and get physical. They will need to maintain their routes and not let them get in their heads. - and use our skill- SPEED- to beat them.

This is key. Our receivers are making plays. Straight ballin at times if you ask me. Ike Hilliard has done a great job with this corps throughout the turnaround. The routes are run with confidence- and to tell you the truth- I actually attribute that to RG3 scrambling a bit less.

I'm basing this off intuition and intuition alone- but I'd like to look at the amount of time RG3 has the ball vs. earlier in the year. I feel like the timing of the offense is more in step, and that helps the receivers run efficient routes.

That's also why these Seattle corners scare me. They're big and scary. They will bump some of our smaller receivers and knock them off their routes. We will really need them to step up and get physical. They will need to maintain their routes and not let them get in their heads. - and use our skill- SPEED- to beat them.

They have two good corners. We have more receivers that have been playing at a high level. Garcon, Moss, Hankerson, Morgan, Robinson. Paulson has really stepped up and improved his receiving skills since Fred Davis went out. If they do shut down our run game and two two corners, I think we can work 3 and 4 wide receiver sets and find holes in their zone coverage (I am assuming they will still play a zone).

I think that's why Detroit who was only a 4 win team beat Seattle. They are obviously a passing team and although Calvin Johnson was taken away, the rest of the receivers stepped up and had big days. RGIII has shown he can make all the throws so I think this is something we can cope with, should they be successful at slowing our run game (which I think is unlikely) and taking Garcon and our #2 out with Browner and Sherman.

Good work

Thanks. Benefits of being a teacher and having two weeks off. Time is running out though..... UGH