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GTripp0012 02-29-2012, 04:24 AM Not as much as you'd think.
What is the Rams’ Second Overall Pick Really Worth? Not Nearly as Much as the Rams Want | The Big Lead (http://thebiglead.com/index.php/2012/02/28/what-is-the-rams-second-overall-pick-really-worth-not-nearly-as-much-as-the-rams-want/)
The premise of the article is essentially that you can't tell how Robert Griffin will compare to other second overall picks in terms of career value. Even if a bunch of teams really like him.
But you can determine how valuable the average second overall pick is and compare that to every other pick in the draft.
GTripp0012 02-29-2012, 04:39 AM Also, even though the article concludes that the 39th overall pick is something the Rams should get for the 2nd pick, I'm going to point out that the 2013 first rounder is basically equally valuable (right now) to the 39th overall pick.
So trading the first and second round picks isn't different (in terms of trade value) than trading next year's first and this year's first.
What it's saying is that there's still a bit of a gap between what the Rams are asking for (two firsts, a third, and a fifth) and what their asset is actually worth (two firsts and a sixth). It's really not a huge difference, but it's a meaningful one. The Redskins were able to add Leonard Hankerson and trade for the last two years of Adam Carriker's contract for the difference in what St. Louis is asking for vs. what it's worth.
Though I have to imagine if you love RG3 enough, you'd probably argue that the difference is trivial. When you're actually running an NFL team though, every small advantage counts. And if it doesn't, pretend like it does anyway.
30gut 02-29-2012, 09:18 AM gp GT
The media likes to blur the distinction between moving up X number of spots vs. moving up X number of spots to acquire the 1st over all.
I don't think the Chargers-Giants trade is the actual bench mark because they traded up to the 1st overall spot.
dmek25 02-29-2012, 09:25 AM i like RG3 so much, and am so sick of mediocre QB play, that i trade this years and next years first. along with next years second for him. im not trading any players. when you lose a player, you have to fill that empty spot somehow. and the one thing that shanahan has done is make the redskins younger
NYCskinfan82 02-29-2012, 12:45 PM IMO 2012 1st & 3rd, 2013 1st & 4th.
diehardskin2982 02-29-2012, 12:56 PM It's not what the 2nd pick is worth. It's more a question of how much would you pay for a talent like RGIII at the QB position. Argueably with a legit QB last year we could have taken the east and got into the playoffs.
I am hoping that the Redskins pay the price- what ever it takes to get their guy. I think its time to invest in a blue chip pospect at the QB position to groom into their system. Our version of a McNabb or Peyton that can last in the role for 10+ years. No more settling for second rate.
SBXVII 02-29-2012, 01:29 PM I love this. It's nice to see team over pay, but in reality.... the chart is just a guide and even then I think if there is a valuable player or someone several teams want it then becomes an auction. Basically put it's about supply and demand. What will the market allow. Which is another reason I'm not for trading up, we make this trade and then the presedence has been set for what it will take to trade up and then it becomes the source to look at as a guide.
I personally think it's too much. If RGIII played in a pro system, had his mechanics somewhat down, had a good throwing motion, and only needed to work on his reading defenses then I might look at it differently, but thats not the case. RGIII might be a player with a ton of talent but the coaching staff will have a ton to work on prior to the season and I just don't think it's worth it for a player who's not a complete package. He's better then the rest left thats all.
No one here would pay a Corvettes price for a Camaro that needs some engine work, needs new tires, needs its steering adjusted, and needs new headlights.
CultBrennan59 02-29-2012, 01:44 PM I'm telling you all the final trade will probably be
2012 1st
2012 2nd
2012 4th
2013 1st
2013 3rd
It's going to be a lot. Unlike the Manning for Rivers trade, there was only 1 team interested, the Giants. This year we have at least 3, Us, Cleveland, and Miami. = Price goes up.
donofriose 02-29-2012, 01:45 PM Daniel Snyder... that is what I would trade
SFREDSKIN 02-29-2012, 01:50 PM I'm telling you all the final trade will probably be
2012 1st
2012 2nd
2012 4th
2013 1st
2013 3rd
It's going to be a lot. Unlike the Manning for Rivers trade, there was only 1 team interested, the Giants. This year we have at least 3, Us, Cleveland, and Miami. = Price goes up.
I would give that up for Luck and no one else.
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