Reasons for drafting Sanchez

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hail_2_da_skins
01-26-2010, 12:41 PM
Ruhskins and GMScud got it right. Sanchez came into a good situation for a rookie quarterback. The Jets had a great defense, a great running game and a good offensive line. Not to mention that the Jets went further and got him a big play receiver, mid year. Shanahan needs to build this team from the foundation up. This offense will continue to be dysfunctional until the the foundation, the offensive line is built. The draft will tell us where Shanahan is headed. A good majority of his picks should be to beef up the offensive line. If not, it doesn't matter who is quarterback or running back, this team is destined for failure.

jsarno
01-26-2010, 03:31 PM
He's a rookie who only played one year of college. He was going to make mistakes and the Jets coaches knew that. But the long TD to Edwards was sweet. He had Dwight Freeney bearing down on him. Sometimes guys don't have time to set their feet and throw. That was all Sanzhez there....real nice play.

Actually, that was mainly edwards there who totally left the CB holding his jock strap. All Sanchez had to do was get it close to Edwards...and he did with the lob. That TD was all about Edwards, not Sanchez. If you are saying it's all about Sanchez cause of the hit he took, well, he's an NFL qb, if he flinches before he gets hit, he will be on the unemployment line.

Sanchez had (overall) a very poor statistical season. If it wasn't for the Jets amazing defense (who saw that coming?) and the great running game, Sanchez would have been benched at some point. The Jets succeeded despite Sanchez sucking. 53.8% comp is unacceptable. In 15 games, he threw for an average of 162.9 yards (2444 overall). Only 12 tds to 20 ints (second only to cutler), and had 10 fumbles. Those are horrible numbers. He definitely performed better in the postseason, and hopefully for the jets sake, his postseason performances is what they are looking for. But it wasn't like he was spectacular. Here are his stats:
vs bengals, 12-15 80%, 182 yrds, 1-0
vs chargers, 12-23 52.2%, 100 yrds, 1-1
vs colts, 17-30 56.7%, 257 yrds, 2-1
If I had to rank his performances, vs the bengals i'd give him an INC since he wasn't needed at all with only 15 attempts. Vs chargers "F". Vs Colts, "C+/ B-" So it's not like these figures showed he was coming into his own. Not that you can, or should do this, but take away that 80 yard TD to Edwards (that was ALL edwards burning the CB) and he goes 16-29 55.2%, 177 yds, and 1-1. That would put him more around a "D+/C-".
For all of you who think that Sanchez showed good skills, and is a great QB star prospect...think again. Think of how inflated numbers can look when you have an GREAT running game, and the #1 defense in the league. We all know I dislike Campbell, but if Campbell was on the Jets, he would have throw for much better stats. Sanchez was sacked only 26 times, while Campbell was sacked 43 times.
If I had a choice between Campbell or Sanchez, i'd take Campbell. (please know I would want NEITHER of them, just making a point)

Son Of Man
01-26-2010, 04:22 PM
You can bring just about any QB to the terrible set up we had here in Washington, and they will all most likely fail. While not taking much away from Sanchez' potential abilities, you fail to acknowledge the good tools that the Jets put around him and the good situation they put him him. By the time Sanchez got there, the Jets had built a Pro Bowl offensive line, a great running game, and an elite defense. The Jets even went out and got him a big WR target in Edwards.

You can continue to lust after QBs that have "fantastic leadership skills and passion for the game" but that won't mean squat if they continue to hit the ground because of a terrible offensive line (among many problems that a terrible offensive line brings). Over the course of these playoffs, you saw two great QBs with a lot of this leadership and passion that you speak of, and they got hit in the mouth and were sent packing home the minute their line was not able to protect them. A line that that does that constantly during the regular season will result in a 4-12 record.

Jets fans should feel secure as Sanchez as their starter and should look forward to him as the future of their franchise. And that's because Sanchez feels secure about his offensive line, his running game, and his team's ownership commitment to him as the starting QB.

What has JC done to ever instill confidence in the B&G fanbase? Even when we had a solid line, running game and defense (2007 season which was his first as a full-time starter), did he exude leadership quality? Sanchez does.

BTW- Ben Rothelisberger played behind a terrible line, so did Aaron Rogers (who was drafted the same year as JC). Why is their play seen as better by virtually ever expert in the NFL and TV? Why is it Denver and Chicage wanted no parts of him in a proposed trade?

JC is a nice guy and appears to be a good person, however, he has not shown the ability to b a franchise QB after 3 1/2 seasons.....period.

GTripp0012
01-26-2010, 04:35 PM
What has JC done to ever instill confidence in the B&G fanbase? Even when we had a solid line, running game and defense (2007 season which was his first as a full-time starter), did he exude leadership quality? Sanchez does.

BTW- Ben Rothelisberger played behind a terrible line, so did Aaron Rogers (who was drafted the same year as JC). Why is their play seen as better by virtually ever expert in the NFL and TV? Why is it Denver and Chicage wanted no parts of him in a proposed trade?

JC is a nice guy and appears to be a good person, however, he has not shown the ability to b a franchise QB after 3 1/2 seasons.....period.Do we disqualify him being our best offensive player in consecutive years? Sure, hasn't meant a whole lot in terms of playoff appearances or victories, but we haven't had much by way of a defense since Grilliams left (except boundless consistency) and the running game has been quite spotty during the last two years. The passing offense has really been the only thing the Redskins have had during the Zorn era, and clearly, it alone was very insufficient to get the Redskins to the playoffs.

Perhaps it's accurate that quarterbacks need to win to be considered franchise QBs, and QBs on teams that don't win are expendable based on the principle that you can lose just as effectively with worse QB play. I wouldn't agree with that, but at the very least, it makes some sense.

On a 4-12 team, all players are expendable. But that doesn't mean they are all worthless.

Redskin Warrior
01-26-2010, 05:16 PM
What has JC done to ever instill confidence in the B&G fanbase? Even when we had a solid line, running game and defense (2007 season which was his first as a full-time starter), did he exude leadership quality? Sanchez does.

BTW- Ben Rothelisberger played behind a terrible line, so did Aaron Rogers (who was drafted the same year as JC). Why is their play seen as better by virtually ever expert in the NFL and TV? Why is it Denver and Chicage wanted no parts of him in a proposed trade?

JC is a nice guy and appears to be a good person, however, he has not shown the ability to b a franchise QB after 3 1/2 seasons.....period.

Aaron also sat for 3 years behind one of the greatest QB's ever plus the biggest issue with JC he changed systems evey year or two. He had stellar WR's, RB's pretty good defense basically the same set up the Jets have without the hall of fame QB & stellar o-line.

Vinny said that Snyder didn't want to give up 2 1st rounders for anyone that eliminated us from the trade not JC alone. They could have used one of the 2 1st rounders to select a QB in Denver a probably wil.

Ruhskins
01-26-2010, 06:06 PM
What has JC done to ever instill confidence in the B&G fanbase? Even when we had a solid line, running game and defense (2007 season which was his first as a full-time starter), did he exude leadership quality? Sanchez does.

You're fixated on Sanchez and still missing the point. My arguments are not a defense of Jason Campbell, but rather a criticism of our team's inability to give any QB the necessary tools and environment to succeed. While I don't want to belittle Sanchez performance in the playoffs, you make it sound like he carried the Jets on his back, which he did not.

BTW- Ben Rothelisberger played behind a terrible line, so did Aaron Rogers (who was drafted the same year as JC). Why is their play seen as better by virtually ever expert in the NFL and TV? Why is it Denver and Chicage wanted no parts of him in a proposed trade?

Big Ben had a solid line that allowed 36 sacks during his rookie season (tied for 14th in the league), the #2 rushing offense, and the #1 defense in the NFL. And he enjoyed having a top ranked rushing offense and defense for the next couple of years. Once again, it's not about Campbell, and more about what type of talent, tools this team has put around its QB.

Son Of Man
01-26-2010, 07:07 PM
Do we disqualify him being our best offensive player in consecutive years? Sure, hasn't meant a whole lot in terms of playoff appearances or victories, but we haven't had much by way of a defense since Grilliams left (except boundless consistency) and the running game has been quite spotty during the last two years. The passing offense has really been the only thing the Redskins have had during the Zorn era, and clearly, it alone was very insufficient to get the Redskins to the playoffs.

Perhaps it's accurate that quarterbacks need to win to be considered franchise QBs, and QBs on teams that don't win are expendable based on the principle that you can lose just as effectively with worse QB play. I wouldn't agree with that, but at the very least, it makes some sense.

On a 4-12 team, all players are expendable. But that doesn't mean they are all worthless.

When was this? What evidence do you have to support this claim?

Son Of Man
01-26-2010, 07:19 PM
You're fixated on Sanchez and still missing the point. My arguments are not a defense of Jason Campbell, but rather a criticism of our team's inability to give any QB the necessary tools and environment to succeed. While I don't want to belittle Sanchez performance in the playoffs, you make it sound like he carried the Jets on his back, which he did not.



Big Ben had a solid line that allowed 36 sacks during his rookie season (tied for 14th in the league), the #2 rushing offense, and the #1 defense in the NFL. And he enjoyed having a top ranked rushing offense and defense for the next couple of years. Once again, it's not about Campbell, and more about what type of talent, tools this team has put around its QB.

The Skins could possibly pull a Falcons 2008 draft (Take franchise QB like Ryan & LT like Sam Baker), focus on the run with a solid back (Turner), play solid defense (Falcons were not a defensive powerhouse) and enjoy some succes next year. The birds had a relatively quick turnaround. The key is having the right guy to build around...period. It's just that JC has never shown to be that guy.

I reference Sanchez alot in this thread because his name was in the title. I could also reference Ryan and Flacco. Young QB's who seem to have theri teams behind them and although not asked to "carry the team on their shoulders" yet, appear poised and capable of doing so when the time comes. Similar to Ben Rothlisberger. I hope we can find that guy.

BTW- This is in no way an advocation for taking a QB with the 4th pick overall.

GTripp0012
01-26-2010, 07:31 PM
When was this? What evidence do you have to support this claim?By approximate value (http://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?page_id=518), Campbell's 11 in 2008 isn't overly impressive, but it's tied with Portis' 11 in the same season, and is probably roughly as valuable (in the abstract sense, more valuable in the literal sense) as Chris Samuels' 9 or Chris Cooley's 8 or Mike Sellers' 8.

It's approximate, but if you're being honest with yourself, you'd probably say that's accurate, or close to accurate.

This year, no approx. value has been calculated yet, but it's not like any individual on our offense was even close to Campbell. It was a pretty bad year for individuals, yes, but Campbell took small strides as well.

More on approximate value from the above link:

If you don't read all that, here is the very short version:


AV is not meant to be a be-all end-all metric. Football stat lines just do not come close to capturing all the contributions of a player the way they do in baseball and basketball. If one player is a 16 and another is a 14, we can't be very confident that the 16AV player actually had a better season than the 14AV player. But I am pretty confident that the collection of all players with 16AV played better, as an entire group, than the collection of all players with 14AV.


Essentially, AV is a substitute for --- and a significant improvement upon, in my opinion --- metrics like "number of seasons as a starter" or "number of times making the pro bowl" or the like. You should think of it as being essentially like those two metrics, but with interpolation in between. That is, "number of seasons as a starter" is a reasonable starting point if you're trying to measure, say, how good a particular draft class is, or what kind of player you can expect to get with the #13 pick in the draft. But obviously some starters are better than others. Starters on good teams are, as a group, better than starters on bad teams. Starting WRs who had lots of receiving yards are, as a group, better than starting WRs who did not have many receiving yards. Starters who made the pro bowl are, as a group, better than starters who didn't, and so on. And non-starters aren't worthless, so they get some points too.

Ruhskins
01-26-2010, 07:49 PM
The Skins could possibly pull a Falcons 2008 draft (Take franchise QB like Ryan & LT like Sam Baker), focus on the run with a solid back (Turner), play solid defense (Falcons were not a defensive powerhouse) and enjoy some succes next year. The birds had a relatively quick turnaround. The key is having the right guy to build around...period. It's just that JC has never shown to be that guy.

I reference Sanchez alot in this thread because his name was in the title. I could also reference Ryan and Flacco. Young QB's who seem to have theri teams behind them and although not asked to "carry the team on their shoulders" yet, appear poised and capable of doing so when the time comes. Similar to Ben Rothlisberger. I hope we can find that guy.

BTW- This is in no way an advocation for taking a QB with the 4th pick overall.

Ok now I get what you are saying, but I would counter that JC didn't have what Flacco, Ryan, and Big Ben had as rookies. Once again, not defending Campbell, but I hope the team has learned that you have to put some talent around your QB if you either want him to a.) live up to their potential or b.) develop into a good QB.

I don't think drafting a QB with the #4 is the answer, unless we are sure that we have given the QB position the right tools for whoever that QB is to be successful. And honestly I don't think a rookie QB can be successful when the following units have question marks:

Offensive Line: We have at best 2 starters from this past season's group. Arguably the Achilles heel of the team.

Running Game: We have an aging (in RB years) star who may or may have not polarized the locker, and a whole bunch of back ups/scrubs.

Receivers: Maybe the unit with that has more potential than the other two I mentioned, given the development of Thomas and Davis.

Defense: Good statistically, but not good enough to carry the team with the offensive deficiencies.

Starting with the offensive line, this team needs to be rebuilt in several areas. Campbell can be a stop gap until we have team that can give either a developing QB (drafted in the later rounds in 2010) or a rookie with a lot of potential (drafted in 2011...*crossing fingers that there's no lockout) an opportunity to pull a Big Ben, Flacco, Ryan or Sanchez.

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