Election predictions thread

i just checked the latest gallup poll, and obama is up 11 points. thats was around lunch time. its all in what poll you look at
Their traditional pole most use is around 3% which is through the 28th. Maybe you have a more updated pole.
2008 US (United States) Presidential Election and Candidate Coverage -- Gallup.com (http://www.gallup.com/poll/election2008.aspx)

Their traditional pole most use is around 3% which is through the 28th. Maybe you have a more updated pole.
2008 US (United States) Presidential Election and Candidate Coverage -- Gallup.com (http://www.gallup.com/poll/election2008.aspx)

It says 5 - 7% right now

sorry, i was talking about Penn. Buster and my home town

If McCain wins it's because democrats just didn't get out to the polls. But in all reality, I expect Obama to win, though it won't be with my vote.

Prediction: pain. Obama kicks a late field goal to win 20-17. McCain does his best Wade Phillips impression by being old.

Seriously, Obama wins.

Either Obama's going to win by a slim margin (less than 5%) or he's going to win by more than expected (I'd say by over 7-8%).

Everyone pretty much knows Black people are going to go out in droves, moreso than 2004. I'm hoping that will be enough to tip him over..

I mean my sig link won't make anymore sense if he loses... :(

I'm glad your happy about that.

I wouldn't mind it. Beating up a pretentious Republican might make me happy? Whoooo knows! It could be an effective therapy technique!

(Note: All Republicans are not pretentious)

Either Obama's going to win by a slim margin (less than 5%) or he's going to win by more than expected (I'd say by over 7-8%).

Everyone pretty much knows Black people are going to go out in droves, moreso than 2004. I'm hoping that will be enough to tip him over..

I mean my sig link won't make anymore sense if he loses... :(
I think if he wins the increase in turn out in the black vote will show to be the margin of victory. Who really knows its all just one big halfway educated guess.

I think if he wins the increase in turn out in the black vote will show to be the margin of victory. Who really knows its all just one big halfway educated guess.

Yep. That's politics for ya.

Personally, I just want Tuesday to come and go. So these boards can go back to, like 70Chip said, models and monkey's throwing crap. Those were the good old days.

I thopught this was interesting ... the guy is in baseball stats so I thought it was fitting, hes got 344 to 193
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_5ieXw28ZUpg/SQks0JhKnYI/AAAAAAAAAgM/JkcyS93Myfk/S1600-R/1029_scenario.png
FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/)