How many future HR's for Bonds?

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Crazyhorse1
08-09-2007, 08:23 PM
Bonds is still one of the top players in baseball and apparently has no intention of stopping any time soon. Next year's for sure and the year after wouldn't be a bad bet either. My feeling is that he's good for about 100 more dingers and will move out of A-Rod's reach.

If he gets as many as I think he will, the argument that his record is tainted will become muted. After looking at his HR totals year after year it seems to me that there is essentially an orderly progression of HR totals and only one quantum leap, the year his forty or so total jumped to 73.

It may well be that his steroid use accounted for dozens of HR's but not the 100 he's likely to beat his own record by. Another point to consider. It is generally agreed he hasn't been using for some time now. Why isn't he smaller? Why hasn't his bat slowed down?

My answer is that he is a phenomenally gifted and skilled player and the performances enhancers are only a small part of the story, much smaller than a lot of people suppose.

hesscl34
08-09-2007, 08:38 PM
All I know is when my son watches him hit it, he learns from him. I hope he keeps hitting.. great to watch.

SmootSmack
08-09-2007, 09:32 PM
My answer is that he is a phenomenally gifted and skilled player and the performances enhancers are only a small part of the story, much smaller than a lot of people suppose.

Yeah I don't think performance enhancers are what made him great. He was already great regardless.

I think he'll end up with somewhere around 780-790 home runs, I think more toward 780. A lot will depend on whether or not he finishes his career as a DH. I don't think he will. I think he signs one more year with San Fran.

dmek25
08-10-2007, 07:10 AM
right after he hit the record breaker, he told ESPN he still likes playing, and has alot more baseball in him. when i watch him run, it makes me cringe. never full speed, and when he does push it, he looks like he is about 834 years old. time for him to move on to the American league

BDBohnzie
08-10-2007, 08:24 AM
Yep, definitely needs to jump to the American League to extend his career. He looks old when he plays Left.

However, you'd think the Giants would finally get some hitters in front of him in the lineup. 23 HRs this year, and only 53 RBIs...

ArtMonkDrillz
08-10-2007, 08:57 AM
It may well be that his steroid use accounted for dozens of HR's but not the 100 he's likely to beat his own record by. Another point to consider. It is generally agreed he hasn't been using for some time now. Why isn't he smaller? Why hasn't his bat slowed down?I guess one could argue that without the help of steroids the natural aging process could have caught up with him sooner and he'd have only been able to fit a small fraction of the homers that he's hit over the past 5+ seasons.

Personally, I don't think there should be an asterisk put next to his name in the record book because of the era and the fact that it's never been publicly proven that he's actually taken any performance enhancers. If they do put one next to his name they need to put one by any record that Roger Clemens, for example, gets because he's also been implicated in reports in the past. The same can be said for a ton of other players.

EARTHQUAKE2689
08-10-2007, 09:57 AM
If he comes back next year I will say he will finish with a number like 812. But if this is his lat season I say 769-775 or so.

firstdown
08-10-2007, 01:14 PM
He is done after this year.

dall-assblows
08-10-2007, 02:10 PM
no he will DH for the yankees next season.

Crazyhorse1
08-10-2007, 11:19 PM
no he will DH for the yankees next season.

Bond's on-base percentage is 495, which is one of the best in baseball and pretty much par for him. I don't think he's slowed down with the bat at all. I can't see him quitting until he's at least begun to slip. He hit another homer today, which gives him 24, in spite of the favorite way to take him on these days is still to walk him.

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