GTripp0012
10-23-2006, 04:48 PM
If he takes 1 chance out of 5 to trust his arm, his ability and his receivers, instead of dumping the goddamn ball off, we may be better off.What? Why?
#1 the vertical passing game is not the strength of our recieving core. Lloyd is the most well-adjusted for it. So I'd say your 1 in 5 chance of success figure is pretty accurate. Running with that...
We can get pretty much 4-5 yards a play dumping the ball off. If they jump that, Brunell tends to find guys sitting around the sticks for the first down. I'd say 4/5 times we can pick up 4-5 yards doing what we do in the passing game. So the only way our drives stall are: Turnovers, negative plays, penalties, or failed 3rd and short conversions.
Throwing the ball up would increase the turnover rate. It would increse the likelyhood of sacks and penalties. More importantly, 80% of the time, it costs you a down...if you are lucky. Remember, you are throwing into coverage. By design. Which I don't like.
So if the offense we run now is designed to keep negative plays, penalties, and turnovers from occuring, then the problem happens only when those things occur. We aren't turning the ball over. We are however getting negative plays and penalties. And the penalties aren't on Mark Brunell. The sacks could be on a Quarterback if he holds the ball too long. But one of the main complaints with his play is that he doesn't hold it long enough.
Offensive efficiecy is up from last year due in part to the system, and in part to Brunell's play. But drives aren't being sustained. Either players who go hard the first two downs are deciding to pack in on third, or the playcalling is suspect. I blame the playcalling, but I think its a deeper issue. Saunders' philosophy is to ignore the down and distance and call the play he thinks will gain the most yardage at that time. So if he thinks a deep pass will net 0 yards (incomplete), he won't call the deep pass.
I believe he sees the long pass as a sign of desperation. By the way you guys talk about it, I think he might be on to something.
So if you have followed my stream of conscieousness to this point, I may have stumbled upon the reasoning for the lack of deep throws. Having the 6th ranked offense and the 11th ranked QB, he doesn't feel the pressure you do to tear up chunks of yardage. He continues to desire to move the chains. Saunders knows any call he makes could go for a touchdown. So why call the low percentage pass when he could call the high one or run it?
I don't condone being conservative, and if I was calling plays, I would put more stock into down and distance than Al does, but I REALLY don't condone offensive desperation, espicially when the alternative is working reasonably well.
I think its time for some desperate measures on the defensive end.
#1 the vertical passing game is not the strength of our recieving core. Lloyd is the most well-adjusted for it. So I'd say your 1 in 5 chance of success figure is pretty accurate. Running with that...
We can get pretty much 4-5 yards a play dumping the ball off. If they jump that, Brunell tends to find guys sitting around the sticks for the first down. I'd say 4/5 times we can pick up 4-5 yards doing what we do in the passing game. So the only way our drives stall are: Turnovers, negative plays, penalties, or failed 3rd and short conversions.
Throwing the ball up would increase the turnover rate. It would increse the likelyhood of sacks and penalties. More importantly, 80% of the time, it costs you a down...if you are lucky. Remember, you are throwing into coverage. By design. Which I don't like.
So if the offense we run now is designed to keep negative plays, penalties, and turnovers from occuring, then the problem happens only when those things occur. We aren't turning the ball over. We are however getting negative plays and penalties. And the penalties aren't on Mark Brunell. The sacks could be on a Quarterback if he holds the ball too long. But one of the main complaints with his play is that he doesn't hold it long enough.
Offensive efficiecy is up from last year due in part to the system, and in part to Brunell's play. But drives aren't being sustained. Either players who go hard the first two downs are deciding to pack in on third, or the playcalling is suspect. I blame the playcalling, but I think its a deeper issue. Saunders' philosophy is to ignore the down and distance and call the play he thinks will gain the most yardage at that time. So if he thinks a deep pass will net 0 yards (incomplete), he won't call the deep pass.
I believe he sees the long pass as a sign of desperation. By the way you guys talk about it, I think he might be on to something.
So if you have followed my stream of conscieousness to this point, I may have stumbled upon the reasoning for the lack of deep throws. Having the 6th ranked offense and the 11th ranked QB, he doesn't feel the pressure you do to tear up chunks of yardage. He continues to desire to move the chains. Saunders knows any call he makes could go for a touchdown. So why call the low percentage pass when he could call the high one or run it?
I don't condone being conservative, and if I was calling plays, I would put more stock into down and distance than Al does, but I REALLY don't condone offensive desperation, espicially when the alternative is working reasonably well.
I think its time for some desperate measures on the defensive end.