Passing: A Deeper Look

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SmootSmack
10-19-2006, 01:30 AM
I hate you......chinga tu madre

what was the point of that?

RobH4413
10-19-2006, 01:54 AM
what was the point of that?
It's okay he's my cousin.... we joke... (hence the similar H's in our name)

SmootSmack
10-19-2006, 02:07 AM
It's okay he's my cousin.... we joke... (hence the similar H's in our name)

Is he the TE from Maryland? I figured there had to be some background

RobH4413
10-19-2006, 02:14 AM
No... but we're both cousins of him...

Joey Haynos is the TE from MD

WillH is the other knuckle-head poster



and then theres yours truly... humbly posting like a maniac as of recent.

I need to do a little more homework... and a little less posting though.
Calc 2 is a bitch, and I've been slacking.

We're all redskins fans of course...

That Guy
10-19-2006, 03:12 AM
I figured if anyone was going to find flaws it would be you ;) I got the numbers from NFL.com and cross-referenced with Stats Inc (through Football Outsiders). Both had him at 6/8 in that game.

that's odd that nfl.com would have 6/8 deep when their own play by play shows 4/7. I verified the 4/7 by rewatching the entire game twice though ;).

6.25% (1/16) deep int rate i'm guessing isn't very good though. peyton has a 2.7% deep int rate (1/37). both of brunells weren't great decisions... i don't remember the conditions of peyton's int (in the manning bowl).

gortiz
10-19-2006, 12:49 PM
pretty cool tafkas . .

Average of 5.3 "deep" attempts a game for MB

Average of 28.16 overall attempts a game

so about 18% of his passes travel 15 yards or more

onlydarksets
10-19-2006, 12:57 PM
Just going by the official definition. Personally, I feel a five-yard screen that goes 50 is more effective than a 15-yarder that goes for an extra 10. But people want to see bombs.

That's certainly simplifying the logic, but a bit misleading. I want to see wins, which requires the O to open up the field a bit, which requires the occasional long pass to stretch the safeties. So, yes, I want to see bombs, but not as an end unto itself (that's right, I said "unto").

SmootSmack
10-19-2006, 12:58 PM
that's odd that nfl.com would have 6/8 deep when their own play by play shows 4/7. I verified the 4/7 by rewatching the entire game twice though ;).

6.25% (1/16) deep int rate i'm guessing isn't very good though. peyton has a 2.7% deep int rate (1/37). both of brunells weren't great decisions... i don't remember the conditions of peyton's int (in the manning bowl).

Well going game by game for each team for 6 weeks I imagine I probably had an error here or there. But whatever, you get the general jist of what I was trying to do...I think

SmootSmack
10-19-2006, 01:02 PM
That's certainly simplifying the logic, but a bit misleading. I want to see wins, which requires the O to open up the field a bit, which requires the occasional long pass to stretch the safeties. So, yes, I want to see bombs, but not as an end unto itself (that's right, I said "unto").

I shouldn't generalize but I honestly believe (and I'm sure others would agree) that there are people here that would rather we lose with guns blazing than lose or even win playing a conservative game. For example, I think to win Sunday we have to play conservative, not engage in a shootout. But I'd be willing to be that if we pull off something like a 13-10 win there will still be people saying "Well that's not going to work when we go up against Donovan and the Eagles" or some such thing

onlydarksets
10-19-2006, 01:23 PM
I shouldn't generalize but I honestly believe (and I'm sure others would agree) that there are people here that would rather we lose with guns blazing than lose or even win playing a conservative game. For example, I think to win Sunday we have to play conservative, not engage in a shootout. But I'd be willing to be that if we pull off something like a 13-10 win there will still be people saying "Well that's not going to work when we go up against Donovan and the Eagles" or some such thing
Fair enough - given where we are right now, I would agree that conservative offers a better chance for victory. However, I think we have the tools for a high-powered offense like Indy. For that to work, though, we have to demonstrate the capability of going deep (kinda like the Death Star - it's the threat more than the actual use that is most effective).

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