FRPLG
07-25-2006, 09:39 AM
Due to lack of turnover's, Washington's D has never yielded very good fantasy production. They are usually middle of the pack (only as far as fantasy goes). If they can produce more turnover's then they could be a top fantasy defense but until then...
Yeah but TOs are pretty variable. I like to take good defenses and hope they simply have a good TO year.
724Skinsfan
07-25-2006, 11:04 AM
Yeah but TOs are pretty variable. I like to take good defenses and hope they simply have a good TO year.
True. This is why I change Defenses quite frequently based on matchups. Rookie/inexperienced QB's = higher probability for INT for any team.
scowan
07-25-2006, 11:29 AM
Yeah I mean the last pick in the first round.
In fact if you take a total point production from a previous year the 10(or12 or 14 or whichever depending on league size) always has the lowest total.
Just from looking through and doing some subjective analysis I think it has to do with the propensity for the 10 pick to reach. Usually the top RBs are gone by 7 or 8 and then a top WR goes and the top QB. At 10 you have at best a top WR or a second tier RB and inevitably everyone always grabs the RB and immediately puts themselves in a hole. This year and to some degree last year are a little different in that there are a few more good RBs to be had around 10 so maybe the trend is swaying.
This is an interesting observation and study FRPLG. I have that sandwich pick this year, because I won our league and we are doing our draft based on last year's finish. However, we are doing a 2 player "non-last year 1st round" Keeper league. (It means you can keep two players from last year who were not picked in the first round). I am keeping Portis and A. Boldin. So I feel like I already have a top 5 RB, but you are right in that I will be looking at "best available" when my picks come. Unfortunately, other non-1st rounders who are being kept are guys like L.J.(total stinker) Steven Jackson, Ronnie Brown, C. Williams. By the time my number 10 pick comes, I will be looking at RBs 10-15, so I may have to go Manning or C. Johnson or somthing with that pick.
FRPLG
07-25-2006, 11:53 AM
One thing is for sure. Every draft is totally different. Outside the first round it is hard to predict how a draft will unfold. Knowing your fellow drafters is a big advantage since the name of the game is basically information.
That Guy
07-25-2006, 12:55 PM
jacksonville D, cards, etc are untaken. the difference between whatever Ds i'm picking from wont be a big deal. i used the last pick of the draft on wash D, meaning no one else wanted them.
last year the bengals (not a good D) and chicago D took me a long way and both were uncontested week 2 pickups (in different leagues).